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USDA Hardiness Zone 4a

Frost Dates for 55051 — Mora, Minnesota

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Mora, MN (1,018 ft), 2 miles southwest.

Updated

In Mora, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 9 in half of years and has passed by May 26 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around September 30, as early as September 17 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 142 days (NOAA, Mora, MN).

Last spring frost
May 9

50% probability

First fall frost
September 30

50% probability

Growing season
142 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
4a

-30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) coldest night

First snow
November 13

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 12

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

30 of 30 observed

Snow per year
52"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Mora

Half of springs at Mora, MN see their last 32°F night by May 9; only one in ten is past it by April 26, and one in ten still has one after May 26. Planting tender crops after May 16 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 20 20%, and after May 26 10%. The 17 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 89% of the 142 Minnesota stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by September 30 in half of years, as early as September 17 one year in ten, and holds off past October 12 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around October 9; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 14, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 142 days in a typical year, shorter than at 73% of the 142 Minnesota stations; it reaches 161 days one year in ten and falls short of 123 one year in ten. On average 179 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about May 21, and return around September 21. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 10 and March 31.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 6May 11May 14May 18May 21May 25May 28May 31Jun 3
32°FApr 26Apr 30May 3May 6May 9May 12May 16May 20May 26
28°FApr 14Apr 19Apr 23Apr 26Apr 28Apr 30May 4May 8May 14
24°FApr 3Apr 8Apr 11Apr 14Apr 17Apr 19Apr 23Apr 26May 1
20°FMar 23Mar 30Apr 2Apr 4Apr 6Apr 9Apr 12Apr 15Apr 20
16°FMar 14Mar 20Mar 24Mar 28Mar 31Apr 2Apr 5Apr 8Apr 12
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 7Sep 12Sep 16Sep 18Sep 21Sep 23Sep 26Sep 30Oct 3
32°FSep 17Sep 21Sep 24Sep 27Sep 30Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7Oct 12
28°FSep 24Sep 29Oct 2Oct 5Oct 9Oct 12Oct 16Oct 19Oct 24
24°FOct 3Oct 10Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 25Oct 29Nov 1Nov 5
20°FOct 16Oct 22Oct 28Oct 31Nov 2Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 16
16°FOct 29Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 12Nov 15Nov 19Nov 24

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Mora, MN, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 55051 →Compare Mora with another place →

Frost risk through the year in Mora

Frost curve for Mora, Minnesota (Mora, MN, NOAA 1991–2020): the chance of another 32°F night falls from 90% on April 26 to 50% on May 9 and 10% on May 26; the chance that the first fall one has come rises from 10% on September 17 to 50% on September 30 and 90% on October 12.

In Mora, the spring curve drops under 10% on May 26 and the fall curve passes 10% on September 17, 114 days later; that gap is shorter than at 73% of the 142 Minnesota stations with frost dates. The spring risk falls from 90% to 10% over 30 days (April 26 to May 26) and the fall risk climbs from 10% to 90% over 25 days (September 17 to October 12): both ends of the season vary about as much. At Hinckley, MN, 16 miles northeast, the same gap runs from May 30 to September 9, 12 days shorter.

Chance of a frost after each planting date in Mora
Planted onAnother 32°F night28°F night
Apr 25over 90%63%
May 273%35%
May 950% date50%18%
May 1630%under 10%
May 2315%under 10%
May 30under 10%under 10%

Weather by month in Mora

July is the warmest month at Mora, MN, averaging 80°F by day and 58°F at night; January is the coldest at 21°F and 1°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 76% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,148 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 69% of the 142 Minnesota stations. 32% of them (683) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 594. Precipitation totals 31.9 inches a year, most in July (4.7") and least in January (0.7"); May to September bring 64% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Mora, MN
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan2110.7100%310
Feb2640.9100%280
Mar39181.6100%284
Apr53312.5100%1836
May67433.876%3202
Jun76544.41%0441
Jul80584.70%0594
Aug78564.20%0527
Sep70473.352%2282
Oct56352.9100%1358
Nov39221.7100%264
Dec2691.2100%310

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Mora, MN (1,018 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Hinckley, MN, 16 miles northeast of Mora, has a last frost 7 days later (May 16), a first frost 6 days earlier (September 24), a season 12 days shorter.

Frost dates for 55063 (Pine City) →

When it snows in Mora, Minnesota

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Mora usually arrives around November 13, and the last of the season around April 12. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Mora, MN, 1.7 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 27 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 55051

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Mora, Minnesota
WhenWhat to do
February 28 – March 14Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 14 – March 28Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 11 – April 25Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 9 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 8Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 16Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
September 30 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 55051 is 2 miles from Mora, MN, which stands at 1,018 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 55051 in zone 4a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Minnesota →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 4a places in Minnesota