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USDA Hardiness Zone 4a

Frost Dates for 56425 — Baxter, Minnesota

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Brainerd, MN (1,180 ft), 3 miles east.

Updated

In Baxter, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 8 in half of years and has passed by May 21 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around September 29, as early as September 16 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 141 days (NOAA, Brainerd, MN).

Last spring frost
May 8

50% probability

First fall frost
September 29

50% probability

Growing season
141 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
4a

-30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) coldest night

First snow
November 10

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 11

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

29 of 29 observed

Snow per year
48.2"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Baxter

Half of springs at Brainerd, MN see their last 32°F night by May 8; only one in ten is past it by April 28, and one in ten still has one after May 21. Planting tender crops after May 13 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 16 20%, and after May 21 10%. The 13 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 61% of the 142 Minnesota stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by September 29 in half of years, as early as September 16 one year in ten, and holds off past October 11 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around October 8; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 11, 10 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 141 days in a typical year, shorter than at 75% of the 142 Minnesota stations; it reaches 159 days one year in ten and falls short of 125 one year in ten. On average 185 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about May 19, and return around September 20. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 9 and April 4.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 5May 9May 13May 16May 19May 22May 25May 28Jun 1
32°FApr 28May 1May 3May 5May 8May 10May 13May 16May 21
28°FApr 17Apr 22Apr 24Apr 27Apr 30May 2May 4May 7May 11
24°FApr 7Apr 11Apr 14Apr 17Apr 19Apr 22Apr 24Apr 28May 1
20°FMar 31Apr 3Apr 6Apr 8Apr 11Apr 13Apr 16Apr 20Apr 23
16°FMar 20Mar 27Mar 31Apr 2Apr 4Apr 6Apr 9Apr 13Apr 18
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 6Sep 11Sep 15Sep 18Sep 20Sep 23Sep 25Sep 28Oct 1
32°FSep 16Sep 21Sep 24Sep 27Sep 29Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7Oct 11
28°FSep 25Sep 30Oct 2Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11Oct 15Oct 18Oct 23
24°FOct 4Oct 9Oct 14Oct 17Oct 21Oct 24Oct 27Oct 31Nov 4
20°FOct 16Oct 22Oct 26Oct 30Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 10Nov 16
16°FOct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 16Nov 19Nov 23

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Brainerd, MN, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 56425 →Compare Baxter with another place →

Weather by month in Baxter

July is the warmest month at Brainerd, MN, averaging 80°F by day and 58°F at night; January is the coldest at 20°F and -2°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 82% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,084 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 76% of the 142 Minnesota stations. 32% of them (661) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 587. Precipitation totals 30.6 inches a year, most in June (4.6") and least in January (0.8"); May to September bring 64% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Brainerd, MN
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan20-20.8100%310
Feb2510.8100%280
Mar38151.5100%293
Apr53292.5100%2027
May67433.982%3194
Jun76534.60%0437
Jul80584.40%0587
Aug78553.60%<1518
Sep70463.055%2264
Oct55343.0100%1552
Nov38211.5100%273
Dec2571.0100%310

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Brainerd, MN (1,180 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Gull Lake Dam, MN, 6 miles northwest of Baxter, has a last frost 6 days earlier (May 2), a first frost 7 days later (October 6), a season 15 days longer.

Frost dates for 56468 (Nisswa) →

When it snows in Baxter, Minnesota

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Baxter usually arrives around November 10, and the last of the season around April 11. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Brainerd, MN, 2.9 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 27 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 56425

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Baxter, Minnesota
WhenWhat to do
February 27 – March 13Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 13 – March 27Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 10 – April 24Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 8 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 7Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 15Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
September 29 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 56425 is 3 miles from Brainerd, MN, which stands at 1,180 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station; its figures are presented in full for 56401 (Brainerd). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 56425 in zone 4a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Minnesota →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 4a places in Minnesota