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USDA Hardiness Zone 3b

Frost Dates for 56763 — Warroad, Minnesota

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Warroad, MN (1,073 ft), under a mile northeast.

Updated

In Warroad, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 16 in half of years and has passed by May 30 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around September 24, as early as September 11 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 129 days (NOAA, Warroad, MN).

Last spring frost
May 16

50% probability

First fall frost
September 24

50% probability

Growing season
129 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
3b

-35 to -30°F (-37.2 to -34.4°C) coldest night

First snow
November 4

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 25

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

21 of 21 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Warroad

Half of springs at Warroad, MN see their last 32°F night by May 16; only one in ten is past it by May 5, and one in ten still has one after May 30. Planting tender crops after May 23 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 26 20%, and after May 30 10%. The 14 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 37% of the 142 Minnesota stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by September 24 in half of years, as early as September 11 one year in ten, and holds off past October 6 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around October 3; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 22, 8 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 129 days in a typical year, shorter than at 94% of the 142 Minnesota stations; it reaches 147 days one year in ten and falls short of 109 one year in ten. On average 191 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about May 27, and return around September 14. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 4 and April 14.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 15May 19May 21May 24May 27May 29Jun 1Jun 3Jun 8
32°FMay 5May 8May 11May 14May 16May 20May 23May 26May 30
28°FApr 28May 1May 3May 5May 7May 9May 12May 16May 22
24°FApr 17Apr 21Apr 25Apr 27Apr 30May 2May 4May 7May 12
20°FApr 8Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 21Apr 24Apr 27Apr 30May 3
16°FApr 2Apr 5Apr 8Apr 11Apr 14Apr 16Apr 19Apr 22Apr 27
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FAug 31Sep 4Sep 8Sep 11Sep 14Sep 17Sep 19Sep 22Sep 25
32°FSep 11Sep 16Sep 19Sep 21Sep 24Sep 26Sep 29Oct 1Oct 6
28°FSep 19Sep 24Sep 28Oct 1Oct 3Oct 5Oct 9Oct 12Oct 17
24°FSep 29Oct 4Oct 8Oct 11Oct 14Oct 17Oct 20Oct 25Oct 29
20°FOct 9Oct 16Oct 20Oct 23Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 5Nov 9
16°FOct 20Oct 27Oct 31Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 9Nov 13Nov 17

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Warroad, MN, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 56763 →Compare Warroad with another place →

Weather by month in Warroad

July is the warmest month at Warroad, MN, averaging 77°F by day and 55°F at night; January is the coldest at 13°F and -8°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to May (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month.

Warmth for growing adds up to 1,621 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 96% of the 142 Minnesota stations. 30% of them (490) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 488. Precipitation totals 27.8 inches a year, most in June (4.8") and least in February (0.6"); May to September bring 69% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Warroad, MN
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan13-80.8100%310
Feb19-50.6100%280
Mar33100.8100%291
Apr48251.6100%2213
May62403.597%5130
Jun72514.86%0346
Jul77553.70%0488
Aug75524.30%0427
Sep66433.075%2188
Oct51312.5100%1528
Nov34171.3100%280
Dec1910.9100%310

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Warroad, MN (1,073 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Baudette, MN, 36 miles east of Warroad, has a last frost 2 days earlier (May 14), a first frost 2 days later (September 26), a season 6 days longer.

Frost dates for 56623 (Baudette) →

When it snows in Warroad, Minnesota

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Warroad usually arrives around November 4, and the last of the season around March 25. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Warroad, MN, 0.4 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 52 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 56763

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Warroad, Minnesota
WhenWhat to do
March 7 – March 21Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 21 – April 4Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 18 – May 2Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 16 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 2Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 10Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
September 24 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 56763 is under a mile from Warroad, MN, which stands at 1,073 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station; its figures are presented in full for 56751 (Roseau). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 56763 in zone 3b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -35 to -30°F (-37.2 to -34.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Minnesota →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 3b places in Minnesota