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USDA Hardiness Zone 4a

Frost Dates for 58784 — Stanley, North Dakota

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Stanley 3 NNW, ND (2,280 ft), under a mile southeast.

Updated

In Stanley, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 17 in half of years and has passed by May 29 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around September 23, as early as September 12 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 127 days (NOAA, Stanley 3 NNW, ND).

Last spring frost
May 17

50% probability

First fall frost
September 23

50% probability

Growing season
127 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
4a

-30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) coldest night

First snow
October 17

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 28

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

24 of 24 observed

Snow per year
47.4"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Stanley

Half of springs at Stanley 3 NNW, ND see their last 32°F night by May 17; only one in ten is past it by May 7, and one in ten still has one after May 29. Planting tender crops after May 22 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 25 20%, and after May 29 10%. The 12 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 79% of the 33 North Dakota stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by September 23 in half of years, as early as September 12 one year in ten, and holds off past October 3 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 7 days later, around September 30; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 19, 10 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 127 days in a typical year, shorter than at 85% of the 33 North Dakota stations; it reaches 143 days one year in ten and falls short of 111 one year in ten. On average 202 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 10 days longer, to about May 27, and return around September 15. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between October 29 and April 9.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 15May 18May 21May 24May 27May 29Jun 1Jun 3Jun 9
32°FMay 7May 10May 12May 14May 17May 19May 22May 25May 29
28°FApr 26May 1May 3May 6May 8May 10May 13May 15May 19
24°FApr 13Apr 18Apr 23Apr 27Apr 30May 2May 4May 7May 11
20°FApr 4Apr 9Apr 12Apr 15Apr 17Apr 20Apr 23Apr 27May 2
16°FMar 25Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 9Apr 12Apr 15Apr 18Apr 23
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 2Sep 7Sep 10Sep 13Sep 15Sep 17Sep 19Sep 22Sep 25
32°FSep 12Sep 16Sep 19Sep 21Sep 23Sep 25Sep 27Sep 30Oct 3
28°FSep 19Sep 22Sep 25Sep 27Sep 30Oct 3Oct 6Oct 10Oct 14
24°FSep 26Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7Oct 11Oct 13Oct 17Oct 20Oct 25
20°FOct 4Oct 11Oct 15Oct 17Oct 20Oct 23Oct 26Oct 29Nov 3
16°FOct 13Oct 19Oct 23Oct 26Oct 29Oct 31Nov 3Nov 6Nov 12

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Stanley 3 NNW, ND, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 58784 →Compare Stanley with another place →

Weather by month in Stanley

July is the warmest month at Stanley 3 NNW, ND, averaging 80°F by day and 54°F at night; January is the coldest at 17°F and -1°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to May (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month.

Warmth for growing adds up to 1,768 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 97% of the 33 North Dakota stations. 28% of them (493) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 521. Precipitation totals 19.2 inches a year, most in June (3.9") and least in January (0.5"); May to September bring 70% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Stanley 3 NNW, ND
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan17-10.5100%310
Feb2230.6100%280
Mar34140.8100%301
Apr51261.3100%2319
May64382.598%9134
Jun73493.96%<1338
Jul80543.10%0521
Aug80522.11%0498
Sep70421.883%3221
Oct53291.3100%1935
Nov35160.7100%291
Dec2250.6100%310

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Stanley 3 NNW, ND (2,280 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Tioga 1E, ND, 23 miles west of Stanley, has a last frost 6 days earlier (May 11), a first frost 3 days later (September 26), a season 9 days longer.

Frost dates for 58852 (Tioga) →

When it snows in Stanley, North Dakota

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Stanley usually arrives around October 17, and the last of the season around April 28. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Stanley 3 NNW, ND, 0.9 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 19 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 58784

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Stanley, North Dakota
WhenWhat to do
March 8 – March 22Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 22 – April 5Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 19 – May 3Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 17 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 1Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 9Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
September 23 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 58784 is under a mile from Stanley 3 NNW, ND, which stands at 2,280 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 58784 in zone 4a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across North Dakota →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 4a places in North Dakota