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USDA Hardiness Zone 3b

Frost Dates for 58852 — Tioga, North Dakota

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Tioga 1E, ND (2,245 ft), 2 miles northeast.

Updated

In Tioga, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 11 in half of years and has passed by May 24 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around September 26, as early as September 13 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 136 days (NOAA, Tioga 1E, ND).

Last spring frost
May 11

50% probability

First fall frost
September 26

50% probability

Growing season
136 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
3b

-35 to -30°F (-37.2 to -34.4°C) coldest night

First snow
October 17

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 15

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

21 of 21 observed

Snow per year
43.7"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Tioga

Half of springs at Tioga 1E, ND see their last 32°F night by May 11; only one in ten is past it by April 30, and one in ten still has one after May 24. Planting tender crops after May 16 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 19 20%, and after May 24 10%. The 13 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 21% of the 33 North Dakota stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by September 26 in half of years, as early as September 13 one year in ten, and holds off past October 9 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around October 5; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 15, 9 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 136 days in a typical year, shorter than at 52% of the 33 North Dakota stations; it reaches 154 days one year in ten and falls short of 118 one year in ten. On average 196 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 10 days longer, to about May 21, and return around September 19. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 1 and April 5.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 9May 12May 15May 18May 21May 23May 26May 30Jun 3
32°FApr 30May 4May 7May 9May 11May 14May 16May 19May 24
28°FApr 16Apr 23Apr 27Apr 30May 2May 5May 7May 10May 15
24°FApr 9Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 22Apr 25Apr 29May 1May 6
20°FMar 31Apr 3Apr 7Apr 9Apr 12Apr 15Apr 18Apr 22Apr 27
16°FMar 20Mar 28Mar 31Apr 3Apr 5Apr 8Apr 11Apr 14Apr 19
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 6Sep 10Sep 14Sep 16Sep 19Sep 21Sep 23Sep 26Sep 30
32°FSep 13Sep 18Sep 21Sep 23Sep 26Sep 28Oct 1Oct 5Oct 9
28°FSep 20Sep 24Sep 28Oct 1Oct 5Oct 8Oct 12Oct 15Oct 20
24°FSep 28Oct 4Oct 8Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 22Oct 26Oct 31
20°FOct 8Oct 14Oct 17Oct 22Oct 25Oct 27Oct 31Nov 3Nov 8
16°FOct 16Oct 22Oct 26Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 11Nov 16

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Tioga 1E, ND, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 58852 →Compare Tioga with another place →

Weather by month in Tioga

July is the warmest month at Tioga 1E, ND, averaging 83°F by day and 58°F at night; January is the coldest at 20°F and 2°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 89% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,256 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 70% of the 33 North Dakota stations. 30% of them (680) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 631. Precipitation totals 15.5 inches a year, most in June (3.2") and least in February (0.4"); May to September bring 70% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Tioga 1E, ND
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan2020.5100%310
Feb2570.4100%280
Mar38190.5100%294
Apr54311.0100%1942
May67432.189%6197
Jun76533.22%<1437
Jul83582.80%0631
Aug83561.60%<1596
Sep72461.168%4287
Oct55331.0100%1858
Nov38200.6100%285
Dec2480.7100%310

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Tioga 1E, ND (2,245 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Stanley 3 NNW, ND, 25 miles east of Tioga, has a last frost 6 days later (May 17), a first frost 3 days earlier (September 23), a season 9 days shorter.

Frost dates for 58784 (Stanley) →

When it snows in Tioga, North Dakota

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Tioga usually arrives around October 17, and the last of the season around April 15. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Tioga 1E, ND, 1.5 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 26 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 58852

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Tioga, North Dakota
WhenWhat to do
March 2 – March 16Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 16 – March 30Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 13 – April 27Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 11 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 4Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 12Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
September 26 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 58852 is 2 miles from Tioga 1E, ND, which stands at 2,245 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 58852 in zone 3b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -35 to -30°F (-37.2 to -34.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across North Dakota →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 3b places in North Dakota