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USDA Hardiness Zone 3b

Frost Dates for 58368 — Rugby, North Dakota

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Rugby, ND (1,550 ft), 6 miles north.

Updated

In Rugby, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 17 in half of years and has passed by May 31 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around September 23, as early as September 11 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 129 days (NOAA, Rugby, ND).

Last spring frost
May 17

50% probability

First fall frost
September 23

50% probability

Growing season
129 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
3b

-35 to -30°F (-37.2 to -34.4°C) coldest night

First snow
November 2

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 13

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

20 of 20 observed

Snow per year
43.4"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Rugby

Half of springs at Rugby, ND see their last 32°F night by May 17; only one in ten is past it by May 3, and one in ten still has one after May 31. Planting tender crops after May 23 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 26 20%, and after May 31 10%. The 14 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 82% of the 33 North Dakota stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by September 23 in half of years, as early as September 11 one year in ten, and holds off past October 5 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 8 days later, around October 1; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 22, 9 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 129 days in a typical year, shorter than at 82% of the 33 North Dakota stations; it reaches 146 days one year in ten and falls short of 109 one year in ten. On average 195 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 9 days longer, to about May 26, and return around September 14. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between October 29 and April 7.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 13May 17May 20May 24May 26May 29May 31Jun 3Jun 11
32°FMay 3May 8May 11May 14May 17May 20May 23May 26May 31
28°FApr 21Apr 27May 1May 3May 6May 9May 12May 16May 22
24°FApr 9Apr 15Apr 18Apr 23Apr 26Apr 30May 2May 5May 10
20°FApr 2Apr 6Apr 9Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 23Apr 27May 1
16°FMar 24Mar 30Apr 2Apr 4Apr 7Apr 11Apr 13Apr 17Apr 23
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FAug 31Sep 4Sep 8Sep 11Sep 14Sep 17Sep 19Sep 22Sep 25
32°FSep 11Sep 15Sep 18Sep 21Sep 23Sep 25Sep 28Oct 1Oct 5
28°FSep 20Sep 24Sep 27Sep 29Oct 1Oct 4Oct 6Oct 9Oct 14
24°FSep 28Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 20Oct 24
20°FOct 5Oct 10Oct 14Oct 17Oct 21Oct 24Oct 27Oct 30Nov 2
16°FOct 12Oct 19Oct 23Oct 27Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 11

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Rugby, ND, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 58368 →Compare Rugby with another place →

Weather by month in Rugby

July is the warmest month at Rugby, ND, averaging 80°F by day and 55°F at night; January is the coldest at 16°F and -4°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to May (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month.

Warmth for growing adds up to 1,910 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 88% of the 33 North Dakota stations. 31% of them (587) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 542. Precipitation totals 21.0 inches a year, most in June (3.8") and least in January (0.5"); May to September bring 69% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Rugby, ND
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan16-40.5100%310
Feb2100.5100%280
Mar34140.9100%301
Apr52281.3100%2026
May66403.094%6170
Jun75513.88%0390
Jul80553.70%0542
Aug80532.21%0507
Sep70441.877%2233
Oct54301.4100%1840
Nov35160.9100%291
Dec2131.0100%310

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Rugby, ND (1,550 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Harvey 4NE, ND, 33 miles south of Rugby, has a last frost 5 days earlier (May 12), a first frost 3 days later (September 26), a season 6 days longer.

Frost dates for 58341 (Harvey) →

When it snows in Rugby, North Dakota

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Rugby usually arrives around November 2, and the last of the season around April 13. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Rugby, ND, 5.6 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 34 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 58368

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Rugby, North Dakota
WhenWhat to do
March 8 – March 22Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 22 – April 5Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 19 – May 3Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 17 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 1Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 9Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
September 23 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 58368 is 6 miles from Rugby, ND, which stands at 1,550 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 58368 in zone 3b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -35 to -30°F (-37.2 to -34.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across North Dakota →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 3b places in North Dakota