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USDA Hardiness Zone 5b

Frost Dates for 61115 — Machesney Park, Illinois

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Beloit, WI (788 ft), 11 miles north.

Updated

In Machesney Park, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 1 in half of years and has passed by May 16 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 12, as early as September 28 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 162 days (NOAA, Beloit, WI).

Last spring frost
May 1

50% probability

First fall frost
October 12

50% probability

Growing season
162 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5b

-15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) coldest night

First snow
November 23

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 2

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

16 of 16 observed

Snow per year
38"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Machesney Park

Half of springs at Beloit, WI see their last 32°F night by May 1; only one in ten is past it by April 17, and one in ten still has one after May 16. Planting tender crops after May 7 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 11 20%, and after May 16 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 54% of the 158 Illinois stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 12 in half of years, as early as September 28 one year in ten, and holds off past October 24 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 11 days later, around October 23; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 4, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 162 days in a typical year, shorter than at 97% of the 158 Illinois stations; it reaches 182 days one year in ten and falls short of 144 one year in ten. On average 142 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 10 days longer, to about May 11, and return around October 1. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 22 and March 19.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 29May 2May 5May 8May 11May 15May 18May 22May 27
32°FApr 17Apr 22Apr 26Apr 29May 1May 4May 7May 11May 16
28°FApr 4Apr 9Apr 13Apr 17Apr 20Apr 22Apr 26Apr 30May 4
24°FMar 24Mar 31Apr 2Apr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 14Apr 18Apr 22
20°FMar 13Mar 18Mar 22Mar 27Mar 31Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 10
16°FMar 4Mar 9Mar 13Mar 16Mar 19Mar 22Mar 26Mar 30Apr 2
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 21Sep 24Sep 27Sep 30Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7Oct 9Oct 14
32°FSep 28Oct 2Oct 6Oct 9Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24
28°FOct 9Oct 14Oct 17Oct 21Oct 23Oct 25Oct 28Oct 31Nov 4
24°FOct 20Oct 25Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2Nov 5Nov 9Nov 12Nov 17
20°FNov 1Nov 5Nov 8Nov 11Nov 14Nov 17Nov 19Nov 23Nov 27
16°FNov 8Nov 13Nov 17Nov 20Nov 22Nov 25Nov 28Dec 1Dec 6

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Beloit, WI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 61115 →Compare Machesney Park with another place →

Weather by month in Machesney Park

July is the warmest month at Beloit, WI, averaging 80°F by day and 60°F at night; January is the coldest at 25°F and 11°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 51% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,380 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), the fewest of the 158 Illinois stations. 32% of them (771) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 611. Precipitation totals 37.3 inches a year, most in June (5.6") and least in February (1.5"); May to September bring 57% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Beloit, WI
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan25111.6100%300
Feb29141.5100%260
Mar42242.1100%2311
Apr55343.7100%952
May67464.351%1228
Jun76565.60%0479
Jul80603.40%0611
Aug78584.10%0559
Sep71503.815%<1334
Oct58392.897%695
Nov43272.4100%1910
Dec31172.0100%281

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Beloit, WI (788 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Rockford Gtr Rockford Airport, IL, 11 miles south of Machesney Park, has a last frost 7 days earlier (April 24), a first frost 5 days later (October 17), a season 12 days longer.

Frost dates for 61108 (Rockford) →

When it snows in Machesney Park, Illinois

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Machesney Park usually arrives around November 23, and the last of the season around April 2. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Roscoe 2 SE, IL, 4.8 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 29 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 61115

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Machesney Park, Illinois
WhenWhat to do
February 20 – March 6Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 6 – March 20Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 3 – April 17Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 1 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 20Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 28Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 12 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 61115 is 11 miles from Beloit, WI, which stands at 788 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 5 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 53511 (Beloit). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 61115 in zone 5b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Illinois →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 5b places in Illinois