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USDA Hardiness Zone 6b

Frost Dates for 63383 — Warrenton, Missouri

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Warrenton 1 N, MO (827 ft), 2 miles northeast.

Updated

In Warrenton, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 14 in half of years and has passed by May 3 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 23, as early as October 9 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 191 days (NOAA, Warrenton 1 N, MO).

Last spring frost
April 14

50% probability

First fall frost
October 23

50% probability

Growing season
191 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6b

-5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) coldest night

First snow
December 29

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
February 24

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
96%

26 of 27 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Warrenton

Half of springs at Warrenton 1 N, MO see their last 32°F night by April 14; only one in ten is past it by March 31, and one in ten still has one after May 3. Planting tender crops after April 22 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 27 20%, and after May 3 10%. The 19 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 92% of the 158 Missouri stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 23 in half of years, as early as October 9 one year in ten, and holds off past November 5 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 10 days later, around November 2; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 18, 15 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 191 days in a typical year, shorter than at 60% of the 158 Missouri stations; it reaches 212 days one year in ten and falls short of 169 one year in ten. On average 111 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 14 days longer, to about April 28, and return around October 14. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 4 and March 3.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 11Apr 16Apr 20Apr 24Apr 28May 1May 5May 9May 14
32°FMar 31Apr 4Apr 7Apr 11Apr 14Apr 18Apr 22Apr 27May 3
28°FMar 17Mar 24Mar 28Mar 31Apr 3Apr 5Apr 8Apr 12Apr 18
24°FMar 6Mar 12Mar 17Mar 21Mar 24Mar 28Mar 31Apr 3Apr 9
20°FFeb 23Mar 1Mar 5Mar 9Mar 13Mar 16Mar 20Mar 23Mar 30
16°FFeb 12Feb 18Feb 24Feb 28Mar 3Mar 5Mar 10Mar 14Mar 19
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 29Oct 4Oct 8Oct 11Oct 14Oct 16Oct 19Oct 21Oct 25
32°FOct 9Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 23Oct 26Oct 29Nov 1Nov 5
28°FOct 20Oct 25Oct 28Oct 31Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 12Nov 18
24°FOct 31Nov 3Nov 7Nov 10Nov 14Nov 17Nov 21Nov 26Dec 2
20°FNov 6Nov 11Nov 16Nov 21Nov 24Nov 28Dec 1Dec 5Dec 13
16°FNov 15Nov 22Nov 26Dec 1Dec 4Dec 8Dec 13Dec 18Dec 24

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Warrenton 1 N, MO, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 63383 →Compare Warrenton with another place →

Weather by month in Warrenton

July is the warmest month at Warrenton 1 N, MO, averaging 88°F by day and 66°F at night; January is the coldest at 39°F and 20°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 88% of years and May still brings one in 14% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 3,915 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 65% of the 158 Missouri stations. 37% of them (1,434) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 840.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Warrenton 1 N, MO
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan3920100%275
Feb4423100%2313
Mar5533100%1671
Apr664388%4209
May755314%<1439
Jun84630%0697
Jul88660%0840
Aug87650%0790
Sep80564%0539
Oct684579%3241
Nov5534100%1462
Dec4325100%248

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Warrenton 1 N, MO (827 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Washington, MO, 22 miles southeast of Warrenton and 340 feet lower, has a last frost 6 days earlier (April 8), a first frost 2 days later (October 25), a season 8 days longer.

Frost dates for 63090 (Washington) →

When it snows in Warrenton, Missouri

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Warrenton usually arrives around December 29, and the last of the season around February 24. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Warrenton 1 N, MO, 2 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Snow fell in 96% of those winters. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 49 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 63383

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Warrenton, Missouri
WhenWhat to do
February 3 – February 17Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 17 – March 3Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 17 – March 31Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 14 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 31Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 9Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 23 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 63383 is 2 miles from Warrenton 1 N, MO, which stands at 827 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 3 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 63379 (Troy). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 63383 in zone 6b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Missouri →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6b places in Missouri