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USDA Hardiness Zone 6b

Frost Dates for 65240 — Centralia, Missouri

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Mexico, MO (802 ft), 14 miles east.

Updated

In Centralia, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 11 in half of years and has passed by April 26 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 25, as early as October 13 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 197 days (NOAA, Mexico, MO).

Last spring frost
April 11

50% probability

First fall frost
October 25

50% probability

Growing season
197 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6b

-5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) coldest night

First snow
December 8

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 10

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

18 of 18 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Centralia

Half of springs at Mexico, MO see their last 32°F night by April 11; only one in ten is past it by March 27, and one in ten still has one after April 26. Planting tender crops after April 17 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 21 20%, and after April 26 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 54% of the 158 Missouri stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 25 in half of years, as early as October 13 one year in ten, and holds off past November 5 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 10 days later, around November 4; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 15, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 197 days in a typical year, longer than at 58% of the 158 Missouri stations; it reaches 216 days one year in ten and falls short of 176 one year in ten. On average 113 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about April 23, and return around October 15. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 4 and March 4.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 7Apr 13Apr 17Apr 20Apr 23Apr 26Apr 30May 3May 7
32°FMar 27Apr 1Apr 4Apr 7Apr 11Apr 14Apr 17Apr 21Apr 26
28°FMar 15Mar 20Mar 25Mar 29Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 10Apr 15
24°FMar 5Mar 10Mar 15Mar 18Mar 21Mar 25Mar 29Apr 1Apr 5
20°FFeb 24Mar 2Mar 6Mar 9Mar 13Mar 16Mar 19Mar 23Mar 30
16°FFeb 13Feb 21Feb 26Mar 2Mar 4Mar 7Mar 10Mar 15Mar 20
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 1Oct 7Oct 10Oct 13Oct 15Oct 18Oct 20Oct 23Oct 27
32°FOct 13Oct 18Oct 20Oct 23Oct 25Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 5
28°FOct 24Oct 28Oct 31Nov 1Nov 4Nov 6Nov 9Nov 13Nov 18
24°FNov 1Nov 5Nov 8Nov 11Nov 14Nov 17Nov 21Nov 26Dec 1
20°FNov 8Nov 13Nov 18Nov 22Nov 26Nov 30Dec 2Dec 6Dec 12
16°FNov 17Nov 24Nov 28Dec 1Dec 4Dec 7Dec 11Dec 17Dec 23

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Mexico, MO, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 65240 →Compare Centralia with another place →

Weather by month in Centralia

July is the warmest month at Mexico, MO, averaging 88°F by day and 67°F at night; January is the coldest at 38°F and 19°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 82% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 3,907 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 68% of the 158 Missouri stations. 36% of them (1,418) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 855. Precipitation totals 43.6 inches a year, most in June (5.2") and least in January (2.0"); May to September bring 54% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Mexico, MO
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan38192.0100%284
Feb43232.3100%238
Mar54323.2100%1762
Apr66434.782%3197
May75545.13%0447
Jun84635.20%0700
Jul88674.40%0855
Aug87653.90%0800
Sep79564.90%0538
Oct68452.876%3235
Nov54342.8100%1454
Dec42242.3100%258

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Mexico, MO (802 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Columbia U Of M, MO, 21 miles southwest of Centralia, has a last frost 6 days earlier (April 5), a first frost 6 days later (October 31), a season 10 days longer.

Frost dates for 65203 (Columbia) →

When it snows in Centralia, Missouri

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Centralia usually arrives around December 8, and the last of the season around March 10. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Centralia, MO, 0.2 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 32 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 65240

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Centralia, Missouri
WhenWhat to do
January 31 – February 14Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 14 – February 28Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 14 – March 28Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 11 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 2Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 11Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 25 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 65240 is 14 miles from Mexico, MO, which stands at 802 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 65265 (Mexico). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 65240 in zone 6b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Missouri →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6b places in Missouri