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USDA Hardiness Zone 6b

Frost Dates for 65355 — Warsaw, Missouri

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Truman Dam & Rsvr, MO (754 ft), 3 miles northwest.

Updated

In Warsaw, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 7 in half of years and has passed by April 22 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 30, as early as October 16 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 205 days (NOAA, Truman Dam & Rsvr, MO).

Last spring frost
April 7

50% probability

First fall frost
October 30

50% probability

Growing season
205 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6b

-5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) coldest night

First snow
December 10

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
February 24

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

16 of 16 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Warsaw

Half of springs at Truman Dam & Rsvr, MO see their last 32°F night by April 7; only one in ten is past it by March 21, and one in ten still has one after April 22. Planting tender crops after April 13 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 16 20%, and after April 22 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 54% of the 158 Missouri stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 30 in half of years, as early as October 16 one year in ten, and holds off past November 13 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 11 days later, around November 10; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 11, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 205 days in a typical year, longer than at 83% of the 158 Missouri stations; it reaches 226 days one year in ten and falls short of 184 one year in ten. On average 105 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about April 19, and return around October 21. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 15 and February 27.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 4Apr 9Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 22Apr 25Apr 29May 3
32°FMar 21Mar 29Apr 1Apr 5Apr 7Apr 10Apr 13Apr 16Apr 22
28°FMar 8Mar 16Mar 21Mar 25Mar 29Apr 1Apr 4Apr 7Apr 11
24°FFeb 28Mar 5Mar 8Mar 13Mar 16Mar 20Mar 24Mar 30Apr 3
20°FFeb 17Feb 24Feb 28Mar 3Mar 6Mar 9Mar 12Mar 16Mar 23
16°FFeb 3Feb 12Feb 18Feb 24Feb 27Mar 2Mar 5Mar 8Mar 14
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 7Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 21Oct 23Oct 26Oct 29Nov 1
32°FOct 16Oct 21Oct 25Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 13
28°FOct 28Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 21Nov 28
24°FNov 4Nov 9Nov 12Nov 17Nov 21Nov 25Nov 29Dec 2Dec 8
20°FNov 13Nov 20Nov 25Nov 29Dec 1Dec 5Dec 10Dec 15Dec 21
16°FNov 24Nov 30Dec 5Dec 10Dec 15Dec 19Dec 23Dec 28Jan 2

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Truman Dam & Rsvr, MO, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 65355 →Compare Warsaw with another place →

Weather by month in Warsaw

July is the warmest month at Truman Dam & Rsvr, MO, averaging 90°F by day and 69°F at night; January is the coldest at 43°F and 22°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 71% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,299 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 82% of the 158 Missouri stations. 36% of them (1,544) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 916. Precipitation totals 43.6 inches a year, most in May (5.5") and least in January (1.8"); May to September bring 54% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Truman Dam & Rsvr, MO
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan43221.8100%275
Feb47252.1100%2315
Mar57343.098%1573
Apr68444.671%3220
May76555.50%0486
Jun85655.20%0747
Jul90694.70%0916
Aug89674.00%0869
Sep82594.10%0602
Oct70463.556%2282
Nov57363.1100%1175
Dec46272.0100%2411

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Truman Dam & Rsvr, MO (754 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Cole Camp 3NW, MO, 18 miles north of Warsaw and 246 feet higher, has a last frost 6 days later (April 13), a first frost 7 days earlier (October 23), a season 14 days shorter.

Frost dates for 65338 (Lincoln) →

When it snows in Warsaw, Missouri

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Warsaw usually arrives around December 10, and the last of the season around February 24. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Windsor, MO, 21.8 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 42 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 65355

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Warsaw, Missouri
WhenWhat to do
January 27 – February 10Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 10 – February 24Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 10 – March 24Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 7 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 7Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 16Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 30 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 65355 is 3 miles from Truman Dam & Rsvr, MO, which stands at 754 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 65355 in zone 6b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Missouri →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 6b places in Missouri