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USDA Hardiness Zone 6b

Frost Dates for 65604 — Ash Grove, Missouri

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Ash Grove 4S, MO (1,129 ft), under a mile southeast.

Updated

In Ash Grove, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 11 in half of years and has passed by April 29 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 24, as early as October 13 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 196 days (NOAA, Ash Grove 4S, MO).

Last spring frost
April 11

50% probability

First fall frost
October 24

50% probability

Growing season
196 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6b

-5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) coldest night

First snow
December 25

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 3

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
88%

23 of 26 observed

Snow per year
9.3"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Ash Grove

Half of springs at Ash Grove 4S, MO see their last 32°F night by April 11; only one in ten is past it by March 25, and one in ten still has one after April 29. Planting tender crops after April 18 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 22 20%, and after April 29 10%. The 18 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 82% of the 158 Missouri stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 24 in half of years, as early as October 13 one year in ten, and holds off past November 5 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around November 2; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 15, 14 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 196 days in a typical year, longer than at 54% of the 158 Missouri stations; it reaches 217 days one year in ten and falls short of 176 one year in ten. On average 104 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about April 22, and return around October 16. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 9 and February 27.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 7Apr 12Apr 16Apr 19Apr 22Apr 26Apr 30May 3May 8
32°FMar 25Mar 31Apr 4Apr 7Apr 11Apr 14Apr 18Apr 22Apr 29
28°FMar 13Mar 20Mar 24Mar 28Mar 31Apr 2Apr 5Apr 10Apr 15
24°FMar 1Mar 7Mar 11Mar 15Mar 18Mar 22Mar 26Mar 31Apr 4
20°FFeb 17Feb 25Mar 1Mar 5Mar 7Mar 11Mar 15Mar 18Mar 25
16°FFeb 3Feb 12Feb 18Feb 23Feb 27Mar 3Mar 6Mar 10Mar 15
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 3Oct 6Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 18Oct 20Oct 23Oct 27
32°FOct 13Oct 17Oct 19Oct 22Oct 24Oct 26Oct 29Nov 1Nov 5
28°FOct 19Oct 24Oct 28Oct 31Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 12Nov 18
24°FOct 30Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 13Nov 16Nov 21Nov 27Dec 2
20°FNov 6Nov 12Nov 17Nov 21Nov 25Nov 30Dec 4Dec 9Dec 16
16°FNov 17Nov 25Nov 30Dec 4Dec 9Dec 14Dec 19Dec 24Jan 1

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Ash Grove 4S, MO, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 65604 →Compare Ash Grove with another place →

Weather by month in Ash Grove

July is the warmest month at Ash Grove 4S, MO, averaging 91°F by day and 68°F at night; January is the coldest at 44°F and 24°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 77% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,402 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 85% of the 158 Missouri stations. 37% of them (1,637) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 907. Precipitation totals 43.6 inches a year, most in May (5.6") and least in January (2.1"); May to September bring 51% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Ash Grove 4S, MO
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan44242.1100%269
Feb49272.1100%2226
Mar59353.5100%1396
Apr69454.577%5247
May77555.67%<1507
Jun86644.90%0751
Jul91683.80%0907
Aug90663.50%0868
Sep83584.40%0614
Oct71463.379%3288
Nov58363.3100%1374
Dec47282.6100%2315

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Ash Grove 4S, MO (1,129 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Springfield, MO, 11 miles east of Ash Grove, has a last frost 2 days earlier (April 9), a first frost 3 days later (October 27), a season 3 days longer.

Frost dates for 65781 (Willard) →

When it snows in Ash Grove, Missouri

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Ash Grove usually arrives around December 25, and the last of the season around March 3. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Ash Grove 4S, MO, 0.7 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Snow fell in 88% of those winters. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 39 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 65604

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Ash Grove, Missouri
WhenWhat to do
January 31 – February 14Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 14 – February 28Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 14 – March 28Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 11 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 1Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 10Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 24 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 65604 is under a mile from Ash Grove 4S, MO, which stands at 1,129 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 65604 in zone 6b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Missouri →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6b places in Missouri