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USDA Hardiness Zone 6b

Frost Dates for 65613 — Bolivar, Missouri

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Bolivar 1 NE, MO (987 ft), under a mile east.

Updated

In Bolivar, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 14 in half of years and has passed by May 2 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 23, as early as October 8 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 188 days (NOAA, Bolivar 1 NE, MO).

Last spring frost
April 14

50% probability

First fall frost
October 23

50% probability

Growing season
188 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6b

-5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) coldest night

First snow
December 8

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
February 25

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

22 of 22 observed

Snow per year
9"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Bolivar

Half of springs at Bolivar 1 NE, MO see their last 32°F night by April 14; only one in ten is past it by March 29, and one in ten still has one after May 2. Planting tender crops after April 21 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 26 20%, and after May 2 10%. The 18 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 82% of the 158 Missouri stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 23 in half of years, as early as October 8 one year in ten, and holds off past November 4 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around November 1; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 18, 14 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 188 days in a typical year, shorter than at 70% of the 158 Missouri stations; it reaches 211 days one year in ten and falls short of 166 one year in ten. On average 108 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about April 27, and return around October 13. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 4 and March 1.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 10Apr 15Apr 20Apr 23Apr 27Apr 30May 3May 7May 12
32°FMar 29Apr 2Apr 7Apr 11Apr 14Apr 18Apr 21Apr 26May 2
28°FMar 17Mar 22Mar 27Mar 30Apr 1Apr 4Apr 8Apr 12Apr 18
24°FMar 3Mar 9Mar 14Mar 19Mar 23Mar 26Mar 29Apr 3Apr 7
20°FFeb 21Feb 26Mar 2Mar 5Mar 9Mar 13Mar 18Mar 22Mar 29
16°FFeb 5Feb 15Feb 21Feb 25Mar 1Mar 4Mar 7Mar 12Mar 18
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 28Oct 3Oct 7Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 26
32°FOct 8Oct 14Oct 17Oct 20Oct 23Oct 25Oct 28Nov 1Nov 4
28°FOct 18Oct 23Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 6Nov 11Nov 16
24°FOct 27Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 14Nov 17Nov 22Nov 28
20°FNov 4Nov 9Nov 15Nov 19Nov 23Nov 27Dec 1Dec 4Dec 10
16°FNov 13Nov 21Nov 26Nov 30Dec 4Dec 8Dec 12Dec 18Dec 24

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Bolivar 1 NE, MO, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 65613 →Compare Bolivar with another place →

Weather by month in Bolivar

July is the warmest month at Bolivar 1 NE, MO, averaging 89°F by day and 67°F at night; January is the coldest at 43°F and 22°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 82% of years and May still brings one in 14% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,114 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 59% of the 158 Missouri stations. 37% of them (1,505) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 869. Precipitation totals 46.5 inches a year, most in May (5.9") and least in January (2.3"); May to September bring 50% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Bolivar 1 NE, MO
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan43222.3100%267
Feb48252.3100%2219
Mar58343.6100%1480
Apr68445.082%4221
May76545.914%<1469
Jun84634.90%0709
Jul89674.60%0869
Aug88653.70%0831
Sep81574.33%0565
Oct70453.879%4260
Nov57343.4100%1470
Dec46262.7100%2414

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Bolivar 1 NE, MO (987 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Buffalo 2N, MO, 16 miles east of Bolivar, has a last frost 9 days later (April 23), a first frost 8 days earlier (October 15), a season 13 days shorter.

Frost dates for 65622 (Buffalo) →

When it snows in Bolivar, Missouri

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Bolivar usually arrives around December 8, and the last of the season around February 25. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Buffalo 2N, MO, 16.4 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 48 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 65613

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Bolivar, Missouri
WhenWhat to do
February 3 – February 17Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 17 – March 3Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 17 – March 31Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 14 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 31Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 9Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 23 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 65613 is under a mile from Bolivar 1 NE, MO, which stands at 987 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 65613 in zone 6b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Missouri →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6b places in Missouri