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USDA Hardiness Zone 8b

Frost Dates for 75657 — Jefferson, Texas

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Jefferson, TX (211 ft), under a mile west.

Updated

In Jefferson, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 18 in half of years and has passed by April 7 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 8, as early as October 26 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 236 days (NOAA, Jefferson, TX).

Last spring frost
March 18

50% probability

First fall frost
November 8

50% probability

Growing season
236 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8b

15 to 20°F (-9.4 to -6.7°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
44%

7 of 16 observed

Snow per year
1.3"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Jefferson

Half of springs at Jefferson, TX see their last 32°F night by March 18; only one in ten is past it by February 28, and one in ten still has one after April 7. Planting tender crops after March 27 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 1 20%, and after April 7 10%. The 20 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 51% of the 339 Texas stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 8 in half of years, as early as October 26 one year in ten, and holds off past November 30 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 14 days later, around November 22; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 22, 16 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 236 days in a typical year, shorter than at 67% of the 339 Texas stations; it reaches 263 days one year in ten and falls short of 210 one year in ten. On average 55 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 15 days longer, to about April 2, and return around October 30. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 99% of winters and 16°F in 43%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 13Mar 20Mar 25Mar 29Apr 2Apr 5Apr 9Apr 14Apr 21
32°FFeb 28Mar 5Mar 9Mar 14Mar 18Mar 23Mar 27Apr 1Apr 7
28°FFeb 7Feb 18Feb 24Feb 28Mar 3Mar 6Mar 11Mar 15Mar 22
24°F99% of yrsJan 14Jan 25Jan 31Feb 7Feb 14Feb 19Feb 26Mar 2Mar 9
20°F82% of yrsDec 26Jan 5Jan 13Jan 20Jan 26Jan 31Feb 5Feb 14Feb 27
16°F43% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 18Oct 22Oct 25Oct 28Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 8Nov 15
32°FOct 26Oct 31Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 12Nov 17Nov 22Nov 30
28°FNov 1Nov 7Nov 12Nov 17Nov 22Nov 28Dec 1Dec 5Dec 12
24°F99% of yrsNov 13Nov 21Nov 28Dec 1Dec 6Dec 12Dec 19Dec 27Jan 5
20°F82% of yrsNov 29Dec 5Dec 13Dec 21Dec 26Jan 1Jan 6Jan 14Jan 30
16°F43% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Jefferson, TX, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 75657 →Compare Jefferson with another place →

Weather by month in Jefferson

July is the warmest month at Jefferson, TX, averaging 94°F by day and 72°F at night; January is the coldest at 57°F and 34°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to February (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, March still brings one in 84% of years and April still brings one in 21% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 6,002 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 72% of the 351 Texas stations. 40% of them (2,426) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 1,026. Precipitation totals 49.7 inches a year, most in May (5.1") and least in August (2.4"); May to September bring 39% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Jefferson, TX
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan57344.1100%1764
Feb61374.298%1096
Mar69444.884%5251
Apr77524.721%1426
May83615.10%0691
Jun91695.10%0898
Jul94723.00%01026
Aug95712.40%01012
Sep89643.80%0784
Oct79524.521%1473
Nov67423.688%8198
Dec59354.4100%1582

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Jefferson, TX (211 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Marshall, TX, 19 miles south of Jefferson, has a last frost 2 days later (March 20), a first frost 3 days later (November 11), a season 3 days shorter.

Frost dates for 75670 (Marshall) →

When it snows in Jefferson, Texas

Measurable snow is rare here: only 7 of 16 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Jefferson, TX, 0.6 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 75657

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Jefferson, Texas
WhenWhat to do
January 7 – January 21Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 21 – February 4Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 18 – March 4Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 18 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 16Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 25Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 8 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 75657 is under a mile from Jefferson, TX, which stands at 211 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 75657 in zone 8b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 15 to 20°F (-9.4 to -6.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Texas →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 8b places in Texas