Frost Dates for 76446 — Dublin, Texas

Half of springs at Dublin 2SE, TX see their last 32°F night by March 16; only one in ten is past it by February 26, and one in ten still has one after April 5. Planting tender crops after March 26 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 31 20%, and after April 5 10%. The 20 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 51% of the 339 Texas stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 16 in half of years, as early as November 1 one year in ten, and holds off past December 3 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around November 29; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 24, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 243 days in a typical year, shorter than at 56% of the 339 Texas stations; it reaches 271 days one year in ten and falls short of 217 one year in ten. On average 49 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 15 days longer, to about March 31, and return around November 6. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 99% of winters and 16°F in 55%.

July is the warmest month at Dublin 2SE, TX, averaging 94°F by day and 71°F at night; January is the coldest at 56°F and 32°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to February (a 90% chance or more). From May to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, March still brings one in 82% of years and April still brings one in 19% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 5,769 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 82% of the 351 Texas stations. 40% of them (2,283) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 1,004. Precipitation totals 38.1 inches a year, most in May (5.1") and least in January (1.9"); May to September bring 49% of it.

The nearest other station, Proctor Rsvr, TX, 12 miles southwest of Dublin and 247 feet lower, has a last frost 4 days earlier (March 12), a first frost 2 days later (November 18), a season 6 days longer.

Measurable snow is rare here: only 5 of 19 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Dublin 2SE, TX, 2.9 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

ZIP 76446 is 3 miles from Dublin 2SE, TX, which stands at 1,468 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 76446 in zone 8b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 15 to 20°F (-9.4 to -6.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.