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USDA Hardiness Zone 8b

Frost Dates for 76657 — Mc Gregor, Texas

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Mcgregor, TX (723 ft), 1 miles north.

Updated

In Mc Gregor, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 15 in half of years and has passed by April 4 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 18, as early as November 2 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 249 days (NOAA, Mcgregor, TX).

Last spring frost
March 15

50% probability

First fall frost
November 18

50% probability

Growing season
249 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8b

15 to 20°F (-9.4 to -6.7°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
5%

1 of 19 observed

Snow per year
0.1"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Mc Gregor

Half of springs at Mcgregor, TX see their last 32°F night by March 15; only one in ten is past it by February 23, and one in ten still has one after April 4. Planting tender crops after March 23 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 29 20%, and after April 4 10%. The 20 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 51% of the 339 Texas stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 18 in half of years, as early as November 2 one year in ten, and holds off past December 4 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around December 1; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 21, 14 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 249 days in a typical year, longer than at 50% of the 339 Texas stations; it reaches 277 days one year in ten and falls short of 222 one year in ten. On average 35 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 14 days longer, to about March 29, and return around November 8. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 98% of winters and 16°F in 40%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 8Mar 15Mar 20Mar 25Mar 29Apr 1Apr 5Apr 9Apr 18
32°FFeb 23Mar 1Mar 5Mar 10Mar 15Mar 18Mar 23Mar 29Apr 4
28°FFeb 5Feb 14Feb 21Feb 28Mar 2Mar 5Mar 10Mar 15Mar 21
24°F98% of yrsJan 14Jan 26Jan 31Feb 7Feb 13Feb 21Feb 28Mar 4Mar 10
20°F81% of yrsDec 26Jan 5Jan 15Jan 24Jan 31Feb 4Feb 11Feb 22Mar 3
16°F40% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 23Oct 29Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 11Nov 15Nov 18Nov 24
32°FNov 2Nov 7Nov 11Nov 15Nov 18Nov 22Nov 25Nov 30Dec 4
28°FNov 11Nov 17Nov 23Nov 27Dec 1Dec 4Dec 7Dec 13Dec 22
24°F98% of yrsNov 25Dec 1Dec 5Dec 10Dec 15Dec 21Dec 27Jan 3Jan 13
20°F81% of yrsDec 4Dec 12Dec 20Dec 26Jan 1Jan 5Jan 12Jan 22Feb 5
16°F40% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Mcgregor, TX, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 76657 →Compare Mc Gregor with another place →

Weather by month in Mc Gregor

August is the warmest month at Mcgregor, TX, averaging 96°F by day and 72°F at night; January is the coldest at 59°F and 34°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to February (a 90% chance or more). From May to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, March still brings one in 78% of years and April still brings one in 12% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 6,185 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 60% of the 351 Texas stations. 39% of them (2,431) have built up by the end of June, and August adds the most, 1,049. Precipitation totals 38.1 inches a year, most in May (4.9") and least in August (2.2"); May to September bring 43% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Mcgregor, TX
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan59342.6100%1363
Feb62382.797%7105
Mar69453.478%2251
Apr77523.012%<1424
May83614.92%<1688
Jun91693.70%0900
Jul95722.30%01032
Aug96722.20%01049
Sep90653.10%0820
Oct80554.68%<1541
Nov68442.880%2229
Dec61362.8100%1082

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Mcgregor, TX (723 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Waco Dam, TX, 17 miles northeast of Mc Gregor and 228 feet lower, has a last frost 6 days earlier (March 9), a first frost 2 days later (November 20), a season 7 days longer.

Frost dates for 76706 (Robinson) →

When it snows in Mc Gregor, Texas

Measurable snow is rare here: only 1 of 19 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Mcgregor, TX, 1.2 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 76657

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Mc Gregor, Texas
WhenWhat to do
January 4 – January 18Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 18 – February 1Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 15 – March 1Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 15 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 26Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 4Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 18 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 76657 is 1 mile from Mcgregor, TX, which stands at 723 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 5 other ZIP codes share the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 76657 in zone 8b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 15 to 20°F (-9.4 to -6.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Texas →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 8b places in Texas