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USDA Hardiness Zone 9a

Frost Dates for 78017 — Dilley, Texas

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Dilley, TX (550 ft), 5 miles southeast.

Updated

In Dilley, the last spring frost (32°F) is around February 16 in half of years and has passed by March 12 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around December 6, as early as November 16 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 296 days (NOAA, Dilley, TX).

Last spring frost
February 16

50% probability

First fall frost
December 6

50% probability

Growing season
296 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9a

20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
6%

1 of 17 observed

Snow per year
0.2"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Dilley

Half of springs at Dilley, TX see their last 32°F night by February 16; only one in ten is past it by January 14, and one in ten still has one after March 12. Planting tender crops after February 28 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 4 20%, and after March 12 10%. The 24 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 76% of the 339 Texas stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by December 6 in half of years, as early as November 16 one year in ten, and holds off past January 3 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 17 days later, around December 23; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 1, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 296 days in a typical year, longer than at 85% of the 339 Texas stations; it reaches 336 days one year in ten and falls short of 261 one year in ten. On average 10 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 14 days longer, to about March 2, and return around November 23. A 24°F night is unusual: 38% of winters had one.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FFeb 6Feb 16Feb 22Feb 27Mar 2Mar 6Mar 11Mar 16Mar 22
32°F99% of yrsJan 14Jan 26Feb 1Feb 8Feb 16Feb 21Feb 28Mar 4Mar 12
28°F83% of yrsDec 19Dec 30Jan 7Jan 16Jan 26Feb 2Feb 10Feb 19Mar 1
24°F38% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F9% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F1% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FNov 5Nov 11Nov 16Nov 20Nov 23Nov 28Dec 1Dec 5Dec 11
32°F99% of yrsNov 16Nov 23Nov 28Dec 3Dec 6Dec 11Dec 16Dec 24Jan 3
28°F83% of yrsDec 1Dec 6Dec 12Dec 17Dec 23Dec 29Jan 4Jan 17Feb 4
24°F38% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F9% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F1% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Dilley, TX, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 78017 →Compare Dilley with another place →

Weather by month in Dilley

August is the warmest month at Dilley, TX, averaging 98°F by day and 74°F at night; January is the coldest at 66°F and 42°F. From April to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 61% of years and March still brings one in 27% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 7,844 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 86% of the 351 Texas stations. 44% of them (3,447) have built up by the end of June, and August adds the most, 1,113. Precipitation totals 25.1 inches a year, most in May (4.0") and least in January (1.2"); May to September bring 57% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Dilley, TX
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan66421.282%3174
Feb70461.261%1250
Mar77532.027%1467
Apr84591.50%0653
May90674.00%0890
Jun96722.50%01014
Jul97742.20%01097
Aug98742.00%01113
Sep92703.70%0918
Oct85612.21%<1700
Nov73511.434%1378
Dec66431.278%4192

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Dilley, TX (550 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Cotulla La Salle Co Airport, TX, 19 miles south of Dilley, has a last frost 5 days earlier (February 11), a first frost 3 days earlier (December 3), a season 4 days longer.

Frost dates for 78014 (Cotulla) →

When it snows in Dilley, Texas

Measurable snow is rare here: only 1 of 17 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Dilley, TX, 4.5 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 78017

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Dilley, Texas
WhenWhat to do
December 8 – December 22Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
December 22 – January 5Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
January 19 – February 2Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
February 16 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by September 13Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 22Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
December 6 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 78017 is 5 miles from Dilley, TX, which stands at 550 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station; its figures are presented in full for 78061 (Pearsall). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 78017 in zone 9a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Texas →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 9a places in Texas