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USDA Hardiness Zone 9a

Frost Dates for 78140 — Nixon, Texas

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Nixon, TX (340 ft), under a mile southwest.

Updated

In Nixon, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 7 in half of years and has passed by March 30 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 22, as early as November 2 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 260 days (NOAA, Nixon, TX).

Last spring frost
March 7

50% probability

First fall frost
November 22

50% probability

Growing season
260 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9a

20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
4%

1 of 26 observed

Snow per year
0.1"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Nixon

Half of springs at Nixon, TX see their last 32°F night by March 7; only one in ten is past it by February 9, and one in ten still has one after March 30. Planting tender crops after March 16 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 22 20%, and after March 30 10%. The 23 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 72% of the 339 Texas stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 22 in half of years, as early as November 2 one year in ten, and holds off past December 11 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 12 days later, around December 4; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 14, 16 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 260 days in a typical year, longer than at 64% of the 339 Texas stations; it reaches 293 days one year in ten and falls short of 229 one year in ten. On average 21 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 14 days longer, to about March 21, and return around November 11. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 86% of winters and 16°F in 12%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FFeb 28Mar 7Mar 11Mar 17Mar 21Mar 27Apr 1Apr 5Apr 12
32°FFeb 9Feb 22Feb 27Mar 3Mar 7Mar 11Mar 16Mar 22Mar 30
28°F99% of yrsJan 17Jan 27Feb 3Feb 13Feb 20Feb 26Mar 2Mar 7Mar 14
24°F86% of yrsDec 26Jan 5Jan 17Jan 24Jan 31Feb 6Feb 13Feb 24Mar 3
20°F45% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F12% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 26Nov 1Nov 4Nov 8Nov 11Nov 15Nov 19Nov 24Nov 30
32°FNov 2Nov 8Nov 13Nov 17Nov 22Nov 26Dec 1Dec 4Dec 11
28°F99% of yrsNov 13Nov 20Nov 27Dec 1Dec 4Dec 9Dec 16Dec 28Jan 5
24°F86% of yrsNov 24Dec 2Dec 9Dec 17Dec 25Jan 1Jan 5Jan 14Jan 31
20°F45% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F12% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Nixon, TX, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 78140 →Compare Nixon with another place →

Weather by month in Nixon

August is the warmest month at Nixon, TX, averaging 97°F by day and 72°F at night; January is the coldest at 65°F and 38°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to January (a 90% chance or more). From April to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 85% of years and March still brings one in 61% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 7,155 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 72% of the 351 Texas stations. 42% of them (3,016) have built up by the end of June, and August adds the most, 1,069. Precipitation totals 34.5 inches a year, most in May (4.4") and least in January (2.1"); May to September bring 48% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Nixon, TX
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan65382.197%7138
Feb68432.285%3196
Mar74492.761%1380
Apr81563.18%<1552
May87654.40%0801
Jun93703.60%0949
Jul95722.50%01043
Aug97723.10%01069
Sep91673.00%0869
Oct84573.27%<1636
Nov74482.268%2344
Dec66412.493%6179

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Nixon, TX (340 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Gonzales 2S, TX, 23 miles northeast of Nixon, has a last frost 9 days earlier (February 26), a first frost 6 days later (November 28), a season 12 days longer.

Frost dates for 78629 (Gonzales) →

When it snows in Nixon, Texas

Measurable snow is rare here: only 1 of 26 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Nixon, TX, 0.8 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 78140

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Nixon, Texas
WhenWhat to do
December 27 – January 10Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 10 – January 24Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 7 – February 21Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 7 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 30Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 8Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 22 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 78140 is under a mile from Nixon, TX, which stands at 340 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station; its figures are presented in full for 78160 (Stockdale). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 78140 in zone 9a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Texas →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 9a places in Texas