USDA Hardiness Zone 9a
Frost Dates for 78140 — Nixon, Texas
NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Nixon, TX (340 ft), under a mile southwest.
Updated
In Nixon, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 7 in half of years and has passed by March 30 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 22, as early as November 2 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 260 days (NOAA, Nixon, TX).
- Last spring frost
- March 7
- First fall frost
- November 22
- Growing season
- 260 days
- Hardiness zone
- 9a
50% probability
50% probability
freeze-free, 50%
20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) coldest night
- First snow
- Rare
- Last snow
- Rare
- Winters with snow
- 4%
- Snow per year
- 0.1"
median, 1991–2020
median, 1991–2020
1 of 26 observed
NOAA normal
Frost risk by date in Nixon
Half of springs at Nixon, TX see their last 32°F night by March 7; only one in ten is past it by February 9, and one in ten still has one after March 30. Planting tender crops after March 16 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 22 20%, and after March 30 10%. The 23 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 72% of the 339 Texas stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.
In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 22 in half of years, as early as November 2 one year in ten, and holds off past December 11 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 12 days later, around December 4; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 14, 16 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 260 days in a typical year, longer than at 64% of the 339 Texas stations; it reaches 293 days one year in ten and falls short of 229 one year in ten. On average 21 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 14 days longer, to about March 21, and return around November 11. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 86% of winters and 16°F in 12%.
| Low | 90% | 80% | 70% | 60% | 50% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 10% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Feb 28 | Mar 7 | Mar 11 | Mar 17 | Mar 21 | Mar 27 | Apr 1 | Apr 5 | Apr 12 |
| 32°F | Feb 9 | Feb 22 | Feb 27 | Mar 3 | Mar 7 | Mar 11 | Mar 16 | Mar 22 | Mar 30 |
| 28°F99% of yrs | Jan 17 | Jan 27 | Feb 3 | Feb 13 | Feb 20 | Feb 26 | Mar 2 | Mar 7 | Mar 14 |
| 24°F86% of yrs | Dec 26 | Jan 5 | Jan 17 | Jan 24 | Jan 31 | Feb 6 | Feb 13 | Feb 24 | Mar 3 |
| 20°F45% of yrs | too rare for a date | ||||||||
| 16°F12% of yrs | too rare for a date | ||||||||
| Low | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 26 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 |
| 32°F | Nov 2 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 11 |
| 28°F99% of yrs | Nov 13 | Nov 20 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 28 | Jan 5 |
| 24°F86% of yrs | Nov 24 | Dec 2 | Dec 9 | Dec 17 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 14 | Jan 31 |
| 20°F45% of yrs | too rare for a date | ||||||||
| 16°F12% of yrs | too rare for a date | ||||||||
Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Nixon, TX, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.
Frost risk on any date in 78140 →Compare Nixon with another place →
Weather by month in Nixon
August is the warmest month at Nixon, TX, averaging 97°F by day and 72°F at night; January is the coldest at 65°F and 38°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to January (a 90% chance or more). From April to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 85% of years and March still brings one in 61% of years.
Warmth for growing adds up to 7,155 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 72% of the 351 Texas stations. 42% of them (3,016) have built up by the end of June, and August adds the most, 1,069. Precipitation totals 34.5 inches a year, most in May (4.4") and least in January (2.1"); May to September bring 48% of it.
| Month | High °F | Low °F | Precip. in | 32°F night | Nights ≤ 32°F | GDD 50°F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 65 | 38 | 2.1 | 97% | 7 | 138 |
| Feb | 68 | 43 | 2.2 | 85% | 3 | 196 |
| Mar | 74 | 49 | 2.7 | 61% | 1 | 380 |
| Apr | 81 | 56 | 3.1 | 8% | <1 | 552 |
| May | 87 | 65 | 4.4 | 0% | 0 | 801 |
| Jun | 93 | 70 | 3.6 | 0% | 0 | 949 |
| Jul | 95 | 72 | 2.5 | 0% | 0 | 1043 |
| Aug | 97 | 72 | 3.1 | 0% | 0 | 1069 |
| Sep | 91 | 67 | 3.0 | 0% | 0 | 869 |
| Oct | 84 | 57 | 3.2 | 7% | <1 | 636 |
| Nov | 74 | 48 | 2.2 | 68% | 2 | 344 |
| Dec | 66 | 41 | 2.4 | 93% | 6 | 179 |
Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Nixon, TX (340 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.
Compared with the next station
The nearest other station, Gonzales 2S, TX, 23 miles northeast of Nixon, has a last frost 9 days earlier (February 26), a first frost 6 days later (November 28), a season 12 days longer.
When it snows in Nixon, Texas
Measurable snow is rare here: only 1 of 26 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Nixon, TX, 0.8 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.
Planting calendar for 78140
| When | What to do |
|---|---|
| December 27 – January 10 | Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out. |
| January 10 – January 24 | Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early. |
| February 7 – February 21 | Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil. |
| March 7 onward | Transplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast. |
| by August 30 | Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops. |
| by November 8 | Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation. |
| November 22 onward | Plant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter. |
The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.
Where these figures come from
ZIP 78140 is under a mile from Nixon, TX, which stands at 340 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station; its figures are presented in full for 78160 (Stockdale). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 78140 in zone 9a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.
Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.
Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.