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USDA Hardiness Zone 8a

Frost Dates for 78631 — Harper, Texas

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Harper 3ENE, TX (2,110 ft), 6 miles east.

Updated

In Harper, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 15 in half of years and has passed by April 12 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 15, as early as October 27 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 243 days (NOAA, Harper 3ENE, TX).

Last spring frost
March 15

50% probability

First fall frost
November 15

50% probability

Growing season
243 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8a

10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
12%

3 of 25 observed

Snow per year
0"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Harper

Half of springs at Harper 3ENE, TX see their last 32°F night by March 15; only one in ten is past it by February 24, and one in ten still has one after April 12. Planting tender crops after March 28 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 3 20%, and after April 12 10%. The 28 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 89% of the 339 Texas stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 15 in half of years, as early as October 27 one year in ten, and holds off past December 6 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 14 days later, around November 29; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 28, 15 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 243 days in a typical year, shorter than at 56% of the 339 Texas stations; it reaches 273 days one year in ten and falls short of 211 one year in ten. On average 41 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 17 days longer, to about April 1, and return around November 4. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 96% of winters and 16°F in 29%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 7Mar 16Mar 22Mar 28Apr 1Apr 5Apr 10Apr 16Apr 24
32°FFeb 24Mar 1Mar 5Mar 11Mar 15Mar 21Mar 28Apr 3Apr 12
28°FFeb 5Feb 15Feb 22Feb 26Mar 2Mar 6Mar 11Mar 17Mar 28
24°F96% of yrsJan 3Jan 20Jan 31Feb 9Feb 16Feb 23Feb 28Mar 5Mar 12
20°F71% of yrsDec 18Dec 31Jan 7Jan 16Jan 25Feb 2Feb 13Feb 22Mar 4
16°F29% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 20Oct 24Oct 29Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 11Nov 16Nov 24
32°FOct 27Nov 2Nov 6Nov 10Nov 15Nov 20Nov 24Nov 30Dec 6
28°FNov 4Nov 12Nov 18Nov 23Nov 29Dec 3Dec 7Dec 14Dec 25
24°F96% of yrsNov 14Nov 23Dec 1Dec 6Dec 13Dec 21Dec 30Jan 5Jan 18
20°F71% of yrsNov 27Dec 6Dec 18Dec 26Jan 1Jan 5Jan 12Jan 24Feb 12
16°F29% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Harper 3ENE, TX, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 78631 →Compare Harper with another place →

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Kerrville 3 NNE, TX, 21 miles southeast of Harper and 313 feet lower, has a last frost 12 days later (March 27), a first frost 8 days earlier (November 7), a season 17 days shorter.

Frost dates for 78028 (Kerrville) →

When it snows in Harper, Texas

Measurable snow is rare here: only 3 of 25 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Harper 3ENE, TX, 5.8 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 78631

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Harper, Texas
WhenWhat to do
January 4 – January 18Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 18 – February 1Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 15 – March 1Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 15 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 23Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 1Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 15 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 78631 is 6 miles from Harper 3ENE, TX, which stands at 2,110 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 78631 in zone 8a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Texas →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 8a places in Texas