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USDA Hardiness Zone 9a

Frost Dates for 78648 — Luling, Texas

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Luling, TX (400 ft), 1 miles south.

Updated

In Luling, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 5 in half of years and has passed by April 3 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 23, as early as November 3 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 263 days (NOAA, Luling, TX).

Last spring frost
March 5

50% probability

First fall frost
November 23

50% probability

Growing season
263 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9a

20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
0%

0 of 25 observed

Snow per year
0"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Luling

Half of springs at Luling, TX see their last 32°F night by March 5; only one in ten is past it by February 7, and one in ten still has one after April 3. Planting tender crops after March 14 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 23 20%, and after April 3 10%. The 29 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 90% of the 339 Texas stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 23 in half of years, as early as November 3 one year in ten, and holds off past December 14 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around December 6; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 13, 21 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 263 days in a typical year, longer than at 68% of the 339 Texas stations; it reaches 294 days one year in ten and falls short of 232 one year in ten. On average 29 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 17 days longer, to about March 22, and return around November 10. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 81% of winters and 16°F in 9%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FFeb 26Mar 5Mar 11Mar 16Mar 22Mar 27Apr 1Apr 6Apr 14
32°FFeb 7Feb 18Feb 26Mar 1Mar 5Mar 9Mar 14Mar 23Apr 3
28°F98% of yrsJan 11Jan 25Feb 1Feb 9Feb 17Feb 23Mar 1Mar 6Mar 13
24°F81% of yrsDec 22Dec 31Jan 9Jan 19Jan 28Feb 4Feb 12Feb 21Mar 3
20°F39% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F9% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 27Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 14Nov 18Nov 23Dec 1
32°FNov 3Nov 9Nov 14Nov 19Nov 23Nov 28Dec 1Dec 6Dec 14
28°F98% of yrsNov 13Nov 21Nov 27Dec 1Dec 6Dec 11Dec 18Dec 28Jan 7
24°F81% of yrsNov 24Dec 3Dec 11Dec 19Dec 26Jan 1Jan 7Jan 15Feb 2
20°F39% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F9% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Luling, TX, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 78648 →Compare Luling with another place →

Weather by month in Luling

August is the warmest month at Luling, TX, averaging 98°F by day and 73°F at night; January is the coldest at 64°F and 40°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to January (a 90% chance or more). From May to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 84% of years and March still brings one in 56% of years and April still brings one in 12% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 7,375 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 76% of the 351 Texas stations. 42% of them (3,109) have built up by the end of June, and August adds the most, 1,108. Precipitation totals 35.5 inches a year, most in May (4.2") and least in July (1.9"); May to September bring 44% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Luling, TX
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan64402.493%9144
Feb68432.284%5198
Mar74502.756%2395
Apr81572.912%<1564
May88664.20%0823
Jun94723.60%0985
Jul97741.90%01094
Aug98732.60%01108
Sep92683.40%0899
Oct84584.24%<1649
Nov73482.665%4343
Dec65412.893%9173

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Luling, TX (400 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Gonzales 2S, TX, 20 miles southeast of Luling, has a last frost 7 days earlier (February 26), a first frost 5 days later (November 28), a season 9 days longer.

Frost dates for 78629 (Gonzales) →

When it snows in Luling, Texas

Measurable snow is rare here: only 0 of 25 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Luling, TX, 1.3 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 78648

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Luling, Texas
WhenWhat to do
December 25 – January 8Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 8 – January 22Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 5 – February 19Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 5 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 31Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 9Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 23 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 78648 is 1 mile from Luling, TX, which stands at 400 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 78644 (Lockhart). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 78648 in zone 9a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Texas →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 9a places in Texas