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USDA Hardiness Zone 9a

Frost Dates for 78947 — Lexington, Texas

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Lexington, TX (423 ft), 2 miles east.

Updated

In Lexington, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 5 in half of years and has passed by March 31 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 21, as early as November 3 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 262 days (NOAA, Lexington, TX).

Last spring frost
March 5

50% probability

First fall frost
November 21

50% probability

Growing season
262 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9a

20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
4%

1 of 25 observed

Snow per year
0"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Lexington

Half of springs at Lexington, TX see their last 32°F night by March 5; only one in ten is past it by February 10, and one in ten still has one after March 31. Planting tender crops after March 15 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 21 20%, and after March 31 10%. The 26 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 84% of the 339 Texas stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 21 in half of years, as early as November 3 one year in ten, and holds off past December 11 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 12 days later, around December 3; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 14, 17 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 262 days in a typical year, longer than at 67% of the 339 Texas stations; it reaches 294 days one year in ten and falls short of 231 one year in ten. On average 27 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 15 days longer, to about March 20, and return around November 10. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 89% of winters and 16°F in 10%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FFeb 27Mar 5Mar 11Mar 16Mar 20Mar 26Mar 31Apr 4Apr 11
32°FFeb 10Feb 19Feb 24Mar 1Mar 5Mar 10Mar 15Mar 21Mar 31
28°FJan 17Jan 30Feb 4Feb 11Feb 17Feb 24Mar 2Mar 7Mar 14
24°F89% of yrsDec 24Jan 4Jan 13Jan 22Jan 30Feb 3Feb 12Feb 22Mar 4
20°F47% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F10% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 27Nov 1Nov 3Nov 7Nov 10Nov 14Nov 17Nov 22Nov 28
32°FNov 3Nov 7Nov 13Nov 16Nov 21Nov 25Nov 30Dec 3Dec 11
28°FNov 13Nov 20Nov 26Dec 1Dec 3Dec 8Dec 13Dec 23Jan 4
24°F89% of yrsNov 25Dec 1Dec 8Dec 16Dec 24Dec 31Jan 4Jan 11Jan 30
20°F47% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F10% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Lexington, TX, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 78947 →Compare Lexington with another place →

Weather by month in Lexington

August is the warmest month at Lexington, TX, averaging 96°F by day and 73°F at night; January is the coldest at 61°F and 39°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to January (a 90% chance or more). From April to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 85% of years and March still brings one in 57% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 6,966 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 68% of the 351 Texas stations. 41% of them (2,890) have built up by the end of June, and August adds the most, 1,076. Precipitation totals 37.6 inches a year, most in May (4.7") and least in July (2.1"); May to September bring 42% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Lexington, TX
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan61393.197%9116
Feb65432.285%5168
Mar72502.957%2348
Apr79562.69%<1524
May85654.70%0781
Jun92723.20%0952
Jul95742.10%01062
Aug96732.60%01076
Sep90683.10%0873
Oct82584.65%<1611
Nov71483.370%3307
Dec63403.296%8147

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Lexington, TX (423 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Elgin 1 N, TX, 20 miles west of Lexington and 171 feet higher, has a last frost 1 day earlier (March 4), a first frost 3 days later (November 24), a season 2 days longer.

Frost dates for 78653 (Manor) →

When it snows in Lexington, Texas

Measurable snow is rare here: only 1 of 25 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Lexington, TX, 1.6 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 78947

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Lexington, Texas
WhenWhat to do
December 25 – January 8Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 8 – January 22Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 5 – February 19Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 5 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 29Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 7Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 21 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 78947 is 2 miles from Lexington, TX, which stands at 423 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station; its figures are presented in full for 78942 (Giddings). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 78947 in zone 9a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Texas →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 9a places in Texas