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USDA Hardiness Zone 8b

Frost Dates for 79849 — San Elizario, Texas

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Tornillo 2 SSE, TX (3,525 ft), 17 miles southeast.

Updated

In San Elizario, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 21 in half of years and has passed by April 9 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 6, as early as October 24 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 227 days (NOAA, Tornillo 2 SSE, TX).

Last spring frost
March 21

50% probability

First fall frost
November 6

50% probability

Growing season
227 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8b

15 to 20°F (-9.4 to -6.7°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
45%

10 of 22 observed

Snow per year
1.7"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in San Elizario

Half of springs at Tornillo 2 SSE, TX see their last 32°F night by March 21; only one in ten is past it by March 5, and one in ten still has one after April 9. Planting tender crops after March 30 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 4 20%, and after April 9 10%. The 19 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 63% of the 339 Texas stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 6 in half of years, as early as October 24 one year in ten, and holds off past November 18 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 8 days later, around November 14; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 20, 20 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 227 days in a typical year, shorter than at 79% of the 339 Texas stations; it reaches 248 days one year in ten and falls short of 205 one year in ten. On average 81 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 19 days longer, to about April 9, and return around October 29. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 100% of winters and 16°F in 74%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 23Mar 29Apr 2Apr 5Apr 9Apr 12Apr 16Apr 21Apr 27
32°FMar 5Mar 10Mar 14Mar 17Mar 21Mar 25Mar 30Apr 4Apr 9
28°FFeb 18Feb 24Feb 28Mar 2Mar 5Mar 8Mar 12Mar 15Mar 20
24°FJan 31Feb 7Feb 12Feb 16Feb 20Feb 25Feb 28Mar 4Mar 10
20°F99% of yrsJan 3Jan 16Jan 24Jan 30Feb 3Feb 8Feb 14Feb 20Feb 28
16°F74% of yrsDec 14Dec 23Dec 31Jan 5Jan 13Jan 22Jan 29Feb 3Feb 12
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 16Oct 20Oct 23Oct 26Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9
32°FOct 24Oct 29Nov 1Nov 4Nov 6Nov 8Nov 11Nov 14Nov 18
28°FNov 1Nov 6Nov 8Nov 12Nov 14Nov 17Nov 19Nov 23Nov 27
24°FNov 11Nov 16Nov 19Nov 23Nov 25Nov 28Dec 1Dec 3Dec 8
20°F99% of yrsNov 23Nov 29Dec 1Dec 5Dec 7Dec 10Dec 15Dec 20Dec 28
16°F74% of yrsDec 4Dec 9Dec 14Dec 20Dec 24Dec 30Jan 4Jan 15Jan 31

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Tornillo 2 SSE, TX, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 79849 →Compare San Elizario with another place →

Weather by month in San Elizario

July is the warmest month at Tornillo 2 SSE, TX, averaging 95°F by day and 67°F at night; December is the coldest at 60°F and 29°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 26% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 5,549 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 88% of the 351 Texas stations. 42% of them (2,356) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 964. Precipitation totals 8.5 inches a year, most in July (1.7") and least in April (0.2"); May to September bring 65% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Tornillo 2 SSE, TX
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan61290.4100%2321
Feb67330.4100%1471
Mar75400.394%6238
Apr83470.226%1436
May91540.50%0687
Jun98630.70%0904
Jul95671.70%0964
Aug94661.50%0925
Sep89591.10%0716
Oct81480.828%1443
Nov70350.4100%13127
Dec60290.5100%2418

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Tornillo 2 SSE, TX (3,525 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, El Paso International Airport, TX, 17 miles north of San Elizario and 393 feet higher, has a last frost 19 days earlier (March 2), a first frost 14 days later (November 20), a season 34 days longer.

Frost dates for 79936 (El Paso) →

When it snows in San Elizario, Texas

Measurable snow is rare here: only 10 of 22 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Tornillo 2 SSE, TX, 17.2 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 79849

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for San Elizario, Texas
WhenWhat to do
January 10 – January 24Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 24 – February 7Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 21 – March 7Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 21 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 14Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 23Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 6 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 79849 is 17 miles from Tornillo 2 SSE, TX, which stands at 3,525 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 3 other ZIP codes share the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 79849 in zone 8b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 15 to 20°F (-9.4 to -6.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Texas →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 8b places in Texas