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USDA Hardiness Zone 5b

Frost Dates for 81147 — Pagosa Springs, Colorado

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Dulce, NM (6,793 ft), 22 miles south.

Updated

In Pagosa Springs, the last spring frost (32°F) is around June 9 in half of years and has passed by June 27 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around September 22, as early as September 10 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 103 days (NOAA, Dulce, NM).

Last spring frost
June 9

50% probability

First fall frost
September 22

50% probability

Growing season
103 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5b

-15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) coldest night

First snow
November 5

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 17

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

30 of 30 observed

Snow per year
55.7"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Pagosa Springs

Half of springs at Dulce, NM see their last 32°F night by June 9; only one in ten is past it by May 25, and one in ten still has one after June 27. Planting tender crops after June 16 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after June 21 20%, and after June 27 10%. The 18 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 89% of the 110 Colorado stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by September 22 in half of years, as early as September 10 one year in ten, and holds off past October 1 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 8 days later, around September 30; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is June 10, 17 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 103 days in a typical year, shorter than at 83% of the 110 Colorado stations; it reaches 123 days one year in ten and falls short of 83 one year in ten. On average 217 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 15 days longer, to about June 24, and return around September 12. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 1 and April 2.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FJun 9Jun 14Jun 18Jun 21Jun 24Jun 27Jun 30Jul 4Jul 9
32°FMay 25May 30Jun 3Jun 6Jun 9Jun 13Jun 16Jun 21Jun 27
28°FMay 6May 11May 16May 19May 23May 27May 31Jun 4Jun 10
24°FApr 21Apr 25Apr 29May 1May 4May 7May 10May 15May 21
20°FApr 2Apr 8Apr 12Apr 16Apr 20Apr 24Apr 28May 1May 5
16°FMar 12Mar 18Mar 24Mar 30Apr 2Apr 5Apr 10Apr 15Apr 22
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FAug 28Sep 2Sep 6Sep 10Sep 12Sep 14Sep 17Sep 20Sep 24
32°FSep 10Sep 14Sep 17Sep 20Sep 22Sep 24Sep 26Sep 28Oct 1
28°FSep 20Sep 23Sep 26Sep 28Sep 30Oct 2Oct 4Oct 7Oct 12
24°FSep 29Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7Oct 9Oct 12Oct 16Oct 18Oct 23
20°FOct 5Oct 10Oct 15Oct 18Oct 20Oct 24Oct 27Nov 1Nov 4
16°FOct 15Oct 20Oct 25Oct 29Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 11Nov 16

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Dulce, NM, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 81147 →Compare Pagosa Springs with another place →

Frost risk through the year in Pagosa Springs

Frost curve for Pagosa Springs, Colorado (Dulce, NM, NOAA 1991–2020): the chance of another 32°F night falls from 90% on May 25 to 50% on June 9 and 10% on June 27; the chance that the first fall one has come rises from 10% on September 10 to 50% on September 22 and 90% on October 1.

In Pagosa Springs, the spring curve drops under 10% on June 27 and the fall curve passes 10% on September 10, 75 days later; that gap is shorter than at 83% of the 110 Colorado stations with frost dates. The spring risk falls from 90% to 10% over 33 days (May 25 to June 27) and the fall risk climbs from 10% to 90% over 21 days (September 10 to October 1): the last frost moves more from year to year than the first. At Ignacio 6ESE, CO, 26 miles southwest, the same gap runs from June 7 to September 18, 28 days longer.

Chance of a frost after each planting date in Pagosa Springs
Planted onAnother 32°F night28°F night
May 2688%43%
Jun 273%25%
Jun 950% date50%12%
Jun 1630%under 10%
Jun 2317%under 10%
Jun 30under 10%under 10%

Weather by month in Pagosa Springs

July is the warmest month at Dulce, NM, averaging 88°F by day and 50°F at night; January is the coldest at 44°F and 10°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to May (a 90% chance or more). From July to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, June still brings one in 74% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,010 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 64% of the 110 Colorado stations. 27% of them (540) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 586. Precipitation totals 17.5 inches a year, most in August (2.4") and least in June (0.7"); May to September bring 46% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Dulce, NM
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan44101.5100%310
Feb48161.4100%270
Mar57221.1100%291
Apr64281.2100%2521
May74341.1100%14145
Jun84410.774%4374
Jul88502.16%<1586
Aug85492.42%<1535
Sep79411.787%5297
Oct68291.5100%2351
Nov54201.3100%281
Dec44121.5100%310

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Dulce, NM (6,793 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Ignacio 6ESE, CO, 26 miles southwest of Pagosa Springs and 245 feet lower, has a last frost 17 days earlier (May 23), a first frost 7 days later (September 29), a season 25 days longer.

Frost dates for 81137 (Ignacio) →

When it snows in Pagosa Springs, Colorado

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Pagosa Springs usually arrives around November 5, and the last of the season around April 17. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Dulce, NM, 22 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 53 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 81147

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Pagosa Springs, Colorado
WhenWhat to do
March 31 – April 14Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
April 14 – April 28Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
May 12 – May 26Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
June 9 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by June 30Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 8Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
September 22 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 81147 is 22 miles from Dulce, NM, which stands at 6,793 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 81147 in zone 5b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Colorado →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 5b places in Colorado