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USDA Hardiness Zone 9a

Frost Dates for 85138 — Maricopa, Arizona

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Maricopa 4 N, AZ (1,160 ft), 8 miles northwest.

Updated

In Maricopa, the last spring frost (32°F) is around February 23 in half of years and has passed by March 15 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 24, as early as November 10 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 274 days (NOAA, Maricopa 4 N, AZ).

Last spring frost
February 23

50% probability

First fall frost
November 24

50% probability

Growing season
274 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9a

20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
0%

0 of 21 observed

Snow per year
0"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Maricopa

Half of springs at Maricopa 4 N, AZ see their last 32°F night by February 23; only one in ten is past it by January 29, and one in ten still has one after March 15. Planting tender crops after March 3 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 8 20%, and after March 15 10%. The 20 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 52% of the 98 Arizona stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 24 in half of years, as early as November 10 one year in ten, and holds off past December 8 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 12 days later, around December 6; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is February 28, 15 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 274 days in a typical year, longer than at 61% of the 98 Arizona stations; it reaches 304 days one year in ten and falls short of 245 one year in ten. On average 32 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 17 days longer, to about March 12, and return around November 14. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 85% of winters and 16°F in 4%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FFeb 24Mar 1Mar 5Mar 9Mar 12Mar 17Mar 23Mar 31Apr 10
32°FJan 29Feb 4Feb 12Feb 18Feb 23Feb 28Mar 3Mar 8Mar 15
28°F99% of yrsDec 31Jan 12Jan 22Jan 29Feb 2Feb 6Feb 12Feb 19Feb 28
24°F85% of yrsDec 16Dec 23Dec 30Jan 3Jan 8Jan 16Jan 24Jan 31Feb 8
20°F35% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F4% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 27Nov 3Nov 7Nov 11Nov 14Nov 16Nov 19Nov 22Nov 28
32°FNov 10Nov 15Nov 18Nov 21Nov 24Nov 27Dec 1Dec 4Dec 8
28°F99% of yrsNov 21Nov 26Nov 30Dec 2Dec 6Dec 9Dec 12Dec 17Dec 23
24°F85% of yrsDec 1Dec 5Dec 10Dec 14Dec 18Dec 23Dec 29Jan 3Jan 14
20°F35% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F4% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Maricopa 4 N, AZ, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 85138 →Compare Maricopa with another place →

Weather by month in Maricopa

July is the warmest month at Maricopa 4 N, AZ, averaging 109°F by day and 78°F at night; December is the coldest at 68°F and 35°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to January (a 90% chance or more). From April to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 79% of years and March still brings one in 34% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 8,135 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 79% of the 102 Arizona stations. 40% of them (3,292) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 1,344. Precipitation totals 7.2 inches a year, most in August (1.0") and least in June (0.1"); May to September bring 38% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Maricopa 4 N, AZ
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan69370.896%11121
Feb73400.879%5186
Mar80450.934%1384
Apr88510.24%<1585
May97590.20%0880
Jun107690.10%01136
Jul109780.70%01344
Aug107771.00%01310
Sep102690.70%01071
Oct91550.54%<1710
Nov78430.566%3318
Dec68350.899%1291

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Maricopa 4 N, AZ (1,160 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Casa Grande, AZ, 17 miles southeast of Maricopa and 240 feet higher, has a last frost 18 days earlier (February 5), a first frost 12 days later (December 6), a season 31 days longer.

Frost dates for 85122 (Casa Grande) →

When it snows in Maricopa, Arizona

Measurable snow is rare here: only 0 of 21 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Maricopa 4 N, AZ, 8 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 85138

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Maricopa, Arizona
WhenWhat to do
December 15 – December 29Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
December 29 – January 12Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
January 26 – February 9Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
February 23 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by September 1Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 10Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 24 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 85138 is 8 miles from Maricopa 4 N, AZ, which stands at 1,160 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 85138 in zone 9a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Arizona →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 9a places in Arizona