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USDA Hardiness Zone 8a

Frost Dates for 85539 — Miami, Arizona

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Miami, AZ (3,560 ft), 2 miles northeast.

Updated

In Miami, the last spring frost (32°F) is around February 24 in half of years and has passed by March 18 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around December 1, as early as November 15 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 279 days (NOAA, Miami, AZ).

Last spring frost
February 24

50% probability

First fall frost
December 1

50% probability

Growing season
279 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8a

10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
0%

0 of 19 observed

Snow per year
0"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Miami

Half of springs at Miami, AZ see their last 32°F night by February 24; only one in ten is past it by January 30, and one in ten still has one after March 18. Planting tender crops after March 5 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 9 20%, and after March 18 10%. The 22 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 54% of the 98 Arizona stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by December 1 in half of years, as early as November 15 one year in ten, and holds off past December 15 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 12 days later, around December 13; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is February 28, 18 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 279 days in a typical year, longer than at 63% of the 98 Arizona stations; it reaches 308 days one year in ten and falls short of 247 one year in ten. On average 25 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 23 days longer, to about March 19, and return around November 19. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 56% of winters and 16°F in 1%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FFeb 25Mar 5Mar 10Mar 14Mar 19Mar 22Mar 28Apr 2Apr 11
32°FJan 30Feb 6Feb 13Feb 18Feb 24Mar 1Mar 5Mar 9Mar 18
28°F97% of yrsDec 26Jan 3Jan 10Jan 20Jan 30Feb 3Feb 10Feb 18Feb 28
24°F56% of yrsDec 14Dec 23Dec 30Jan 2Jan 5Jan 12Jan 22Jan 30Feb 8
20°F11% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F1% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FNov 2Nov 9Nov 13Nov 16Nov 19Nov 22Nov 25Nov 28Dec 3
32°FNov 15Nov 20Nov 24Nov 28Dec 1Dec 4Dec 7Dec 10Dec 15
28°F97% of yrsNov 26Dec 1Dec 6Dec 9Dec 13Dec 16Dec 20Dec 25Jan 1
24°F56% of yrsDec 7Dec 13Dec 17Dec 24Dec 28Jan 1Jan 6Jan 16Jan 31
20°F11% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F1% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Miami, AZ, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 85539 →Compare Miami with another place →

Weather by month in Miami

July is the warmest month at Miami, AZ, averaging 100°F by day and 72°F at night; December is the coldest at 61°F and 35°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to January (a 90% chance or more). From April to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 79% of years and March still brings one in 39% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 6,464 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 56% of the 102 Arizona stations. 39% of them (2,489) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 1,110. Precipitation totals 17.2 inches a year, most in August (2.6") and least in May (0.3"); May to September bring 38% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Miami, AZ
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan62362.396%863
Feb65392.279%395
Mar72431.739%1244
Apr78490.44%<1411
May87580.30%0704
Jun97680.30%0973
Jul100722.20%01110
Aug98712.60%01073
Sep94661.10%0895
Oct84551.02%<1598
Nov72431.246%2251
Dec61351.9100%1048

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Miami, AZ (3,560 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Globe #3, AZ, 6 miles east of Miami, has a last frost 15 days later (March 11), a first frost 10 days earlier (November 21), a season 26 days shorter.

Frost dates for 85501 (Globe) →

When it snows in Miami, Arizona

Measurable snow is rare here: only 0 of 19 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Miami, AZ, 2.2 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 85539

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Miami, Arizona
WhenWhat to do
December 16 – December 30Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
December 30 – January 13Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
January 27 – February 10Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
February 24 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by September 8Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 17Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
December 1 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 85539 is 2 miles from Miami, AZ, which stands at 3,560 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 85539 in zone 8a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Arizona →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 8a places in Arizona