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USDA Hardiness Zone 8a

Frost Dates for 85544 — Pine, Arizona

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Natural Brg, AZ (4,608 ft), 5 miles south.

Updated

In Pine, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 9 in half of years and has passed by May 10 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 10, as early as October 21 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 211 days (NOAA, Natural Brg, AZ).

Last spring frost
April 9

50% probability

First fall frost
November 10

50% probability

Growing season
211 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8a

10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
47%

7 of 15 observed

Snow per year
1.6"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Pine

Half of springs at Natural Brg, AZ see their last 32°F night by April 9; only one in ten is past it by March 17, and one in ten still has one after May 10. Planting tender crops after April 20 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 30 20%, and after May 10 10%. The 31 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 85% of the 98 Arizona stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 10 in half of years, as early as October 21 one year in ten, and holds off past November 24 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 10 days later, around November 20; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 14, 26 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 211 days in a typical year, shorter than at 64% of the 98 Arizona stations; it reaches 238 days one year in ten and falls short of 182 one year in ten. On average 76 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 21 days longer, to about April 30, and return around October 31. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 100% of winters and 16°F in 46%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 8Apr 15Apr 21Apr 26Apr 30May 4May 9May 14May 19
32°FMar 17Mar 28Apr 1Apr 5Apr 9Apr 15Apr 20Apr 30May 10
28°FFeb 20Mar 1Mar 6Mar 11Mar 16Mar 24Mar 30Apr 4Apr 14
24°FJan 20Feb 1Feb 8Feb 13Feb 19Feb 25Mar 3Mar 9Mar 21
20°F89% of yrsDec 27Jan 6Jan 14Jan 23Jan 30Feb 4Feb 11Feb 18Feb 27
16°F46% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 14Oct 19Oct 24Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3Nov 5Nov 9Nov 14
32°FOct 21Oct 29Nov 2Nov 6Nov 10Nov 14Nov 16Nov 19Nov 24
28°FNov 1Nov 9Nov 14Nov 18Nov 20Nov 24Nov 27Dec 2Dec 8
24°FNov 13Nov 20Nov 25Nov 30Dec 5Dec 9Dec 13Dec 18Dec 25
20°F89% of yrsNov 28Dec 5Dec 12Dec 17Dec 23Dec 28Jan 2Jan 11Jan 26
16°F46% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Natural Brg, AZ, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 85544 →Compare Pine with another place →

Weather by month in Pine

July is the warmest month at Natural Brg, AZ, averaging 91°F by day and 65°F at night; December is the coldest at 53°F and 30°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 67% of years and May still brings one in 19% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,033 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 71% of the 102 Arizona stations. 34% of them (1,370) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 859.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Natural Brg, AZ
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan5430100%202
Feb5732100%1518
Mar643698%974
Apr704167%3183
May794819%1408
Jun88580%0685
Jul91650%0859
Aug89620%0789
Sep84570%<1601
Oct744625%1330
Nov633695%779
Dec5330100%205

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Natural Brg, AZ (4,608 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Payson, AZ, 13 miles southeast of Pine and 242 feet higher, has a last frost 20 days later (April 29), a first frost 17 days earlier (October 24), a season 35 days shorter.

Frost dates for 85541 (Payson) →

When it snows in Pine, Arizona

Measurable snow is rare here: only 7 of 15 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Irving, AZ, 8.5 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 85544

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Pine, Arizona
WhenWhat to do
January 29 – February 12Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 12 – February 26Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 12 – March 26Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 9 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 18Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 27Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 10 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 85544 is 5 miles from Natural Brg, AZ, which stands at 4,608 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 85544 in zone 8a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Arizona →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 8a places in Arizona