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USDA Hardiness Zone 8b

Frost Dates for 85736 — Tucson, Arizona

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Anvil Rch, AZ (2,759 ft), 5 miles west.

Updated

In Tucson, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 27 in half of years and has passed by April 18 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 9, as early as October 25 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 226 days (NOAA, Anvil Rch, AZ).

Last spring frost
March 27

50% probability

First fall frost
November 9

50% probability

Growing season
226 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8b

15 to 20°F (-9.4 to -6.7°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
0%

0 of 19 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Tucson

Half of springs at Anvil Rch, AZ see their last 32°F night by March 27; only one in ten is past it by March 5, and one in ten still has one after April 18. Planting tender crops after April 5 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 10 20%, and after April 18 10%. The 22 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 54% of the 98 Arizona stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 9 in half of years, as early as October 25 one year in ten, and holds off past November 26 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 12 days later, around November 21; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 2, 16 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 226 days in a typical year, shorter than at 52% of the 98 Arizona stations; it reaches 255 days one year in ten and falls short of 197 one year in ten. On average 54 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 17 days longer, to about April 13, and return around November 1. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 100% of winters and 16°F in 37%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 27Apr 2Apr 6Apr 10Apr 13Apr 18Apr 21Apr 25Apr 30
32°FMar 5Mar 12Mar 17Mar 22Mar 27Mar 31Apr 5Apr 10Apr 18
28°FFeb 9Feb 19Feb 26Mar 3Mar 6Mar 10Mar 16Mar 23Apr 2
24°FJan 7Jan 23Jan 31Feb 6Feb 13Feb 20Feb 27Mar 4Mar 10
20°F82% of yrsDec 14Dec 29Jan 5Jan 12Jan 22Jan 30Feb 4Feb 12Feb 25
16°F37% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 16Oct 23Oct 26Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 11Nov 15
32°FOct 25Oct 30Nov 2Nov 6Nov 9Nov 13Nov 16Nov 19Nov 26
28°FNov 2Nov 10Nov 14Nov 17Nov 21Nov 24Nov 28Dec 3Dec 9
24°FNov 14Nov 20Nov 24Nov 29Dec 3Dec 7Dec 12Dec 19Jan 1
20°F82% of yrsNov 24Dec 1Dec 6Dec 12Dec 18Dec 27Jan 2Jan 10Jan 29
16°F37% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Anvil Rch, AZ, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 85736 →Compare Tucson with another place →

Weather by month in Tucson

July is the warmest month at Anvil Rch, AZ, averaging 99°F by day and 70°F at night; December is the coldest at 65°F and 33°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to February (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, March still brings one in 89% of years and April still brings one in 39% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 6,217 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 54% of the 102 Arizona stations. 39% of them (2,441) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 1,063.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Anvil Rch, AZ
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan6634100%1571
Feb693699%10106
Mar754089%5249
Apr824539%1408
May90530%0670
Jun99630%0937
Jul99700%01063
Aug96690%01015
Sep94630%0843
Oct855124%1556
Nov743991%6231
Dec6533100%1568

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Anvil Rch, AZ (2,759 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Kitt Peak, AZ, 18 miles west of Tucson and 4,031 feet higher, has a last frost 30 days later (April 26), a first frost 5 days earlier (November 4), a season 31 days shorter.

Frost dates for 85634 (Sells) →

When it snows in Tucson, Arizona

Measurable snow is rare here: only 0 of 19 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Anvil Rch, AZ, 5.3 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 85736

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Tucson, Arizona
WhenWhat to do
January 16 – January 30Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 30 – February 13Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 27 – March 13Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 27 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 17Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 26Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 9 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 85736 is 5 miles from Anvil Rch, AZ, which stands at 2,759 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 85736 in zone 8b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 15 to 20°F (-9.4 to -6.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Arizona →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 8b places in Arizona