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USDA Hardiness Zone 8a

Frost Dates for 88045 — Lordsburg, New Mexico

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Lordsburg 4 SE, NM (4,244 ft), 6 miles southeast.

Updated

In Lordsburg, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 27 in half of years and has passed by May 10 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 25, as early as October 13 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 179 days (NOAA, Lordsburg 4 SE, NM).

Last spring frost
April 27

50% probability

First fall frost
October 25

50% probability

Growing season
179 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8a

10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) coldest night

First snow
December 21

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
January 9

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
70%

14 of 20 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Lordsburg

Half of springs at Lordsburg 4 SE, NM see their last 32°F night by April 27; only one in ten is past it by April 13, and one in ten still has one after May 10. Planting tender crops after May 2 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 5 20%, and after May 10 10%. The 13 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 80% of the 70 New Mexico stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 25 in half of years, as early as October 13 one year in ten, and holds off past November 4 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 7 days later, around November 1; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 2, 8 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 179 days in a typical year, longer than at 56% of the 70 New Mexico stations; it reaches 198 days one year in ten and falls short of 159 one year in ten. On average 122 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 7 days longer, to about May 4, and return around October 16. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 3 and February 11.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 24Apr 28Apr 30May 2May 4May 7May 11May 15May 21
32°FApr 13Apr 17Apr 20Apr 24Apr 27Apr 29May 2May 5May 10
28°FMar 28Apr 3Apr 8Apr 11Apr 15Apr 18Apr 22Apr 27May 2
24°FMar 3Mar 11Mar 18Mar 24Mar 30Apr 4Apr 9Apr 14Apr 22
20°FFeb 10Feb 17Feb 23Feb 28Mar 4Mar 8Mar 14Mar 24Apr 5
16°FJan 12Jan 25Jan 31Feb 5Feb 11Feb 15Feb 20Feb 27Mar 6
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 4Oct 9Oct 12Oct 14Oct 16Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Oct 27
32°FOct 13Oct 17Oct 20Oct 23Oct 25Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4
28°FOct 21Oct 25Oct 29Oct 31Nov 1Nov 4Nov 6Nov 8Nov 13
24°FOct 27Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 9Nov 12Nov 15Nov 19Nov 24
20°FNov 4Nov 8Nov 12Nov 16Nov 19Nov 24Nov 27Dec 1Dec 5
16°FNov 16Nov 20Nov 25Nov 29Dec 3Dec 7Dec 12Dec 17Dec 26

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Lordsburg 4 SE, NM, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 88045 →Compare Lordsburg with another place →

Weather by month in Lordsburg

July is the warmest month at Lordsburg 4 SE, NM, averaging 99°F by day and 64°F at night; December is the coldest at 59°F and 25°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 34% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,921 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 81% of the 70 New Mexico stations. 38% of them (1,871) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 972. Precipitation totals 11.4 inches a year, most in August (2.2") and least in April (0.3"); May to September bring 54% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Lordsburg 4 SE, NM
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan61240.9100%276
Feb66270.8100%2123
Mar73320.6100%17120
Apr82370.3100%7291
May91470.334%1583
Jun100570.30%0849
Jul99642.10%0972
Aug96622.20%0905
Sep91551.21%0698
Oct82420.776%3388
Nov70300.8100%1983
Dec59251.2100%266

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Lordsburg 4 SE, NM (4,244 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Duncan, AZ, 35 miles northwest of Lordsburg and 584 feet lower, has a last frost 3 days earlier (April 24), the same first-frost date, a season 4 days longer.

Frost dates for 85534 (Duncan) →

When it snows in Lordsburg, New Mexico

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Lordsburg usually arrives around December 21, and the last of the season around January 9. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Lordsburg 4 SE, NM, 5.8 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Snow fell in 70% of those winters. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 108 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 88045

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Lordsburg, New Mexico
WhenWhat to do
February 16 – March 2Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 2 – March 16Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 30 – April 13Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 27 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 2Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 11Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 25 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 88045 is 6 miles from Lordsburg 4 SE, NM, which stands at 4,244 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 88045 in zone 8a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across New Mexico →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 8a places in New Mexico