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USDA Hardiness Zone 9b

Frost Dates for 95361 — Oakdale, California

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Modesto City Co Airport, CA (73 ft), 12 miles southwest.

Updated

In Oakdale, the last spring frost (32°F) is around January 31 in half of years and has passed by February 25 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around December 5, as early as November 20 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 312 days (NOAA, Modesto City Co Airport, CA).

Last spring frost
January 31

50% probability

First fall frost
December 5

50% probability

Growing season
312 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9b

25 to 30°F (-3.9 to -1.1°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
0%

0 of 26 observed

Snow per year
0"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Oakdale

Half of springs at Modesto City Co Airport, CA see their last 32°F night by January 31; only one in ten is past it by December 31, and one in ten still has one after February 25. Planting tender crops after February 10 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after February 18 20%, and after February 25 10%. The 25 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 70% of the 220 California stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by December 5 in half of years, as early as November 20 one year in ten, and holds off past January 6 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 16 days later, around December 21; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is February 6, 19 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 312 days in a typical year, longer than at 70% of the 219 California stations; it reaches 343 days one year in ten and falls short of 279 one year in ten. On average 12 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 29 days longer, to about March 1, and return around November 22. A 24°F night is unusual: 20% of winters had one.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FFeb 3Feb 15Feb 22Feb 26Mar 1Mar 5Mar 11Mar 18Mar 31
32°F97% of yrsDec 31Jan 10Jan 18Jan 25Jan 31Feb 5Feb 10Feb 18Feb 25
28°F68% of yrsDec 16Dec 25Dec 31Jan 3Jan 8Jan 14Jan 21Jan 29Feb 6
24°F20% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F3% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FNov 8Nov 12Nov 16Nov 20Nov 22Nov 25Nov 28Dec 1Dec 9
32°F97% of yrsNov 20Nov 25Nov 29Dec 2Dec 5Dec 10Dec 16Dec 23Jan 6
28°F68% of yrsDec 1Dec 5Dec 11Dec 16Dec 21Dec 28Jan 1Jan 8Jan 20
24°F20% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F3% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Modesto City Co Airport, CA, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 95361 →Compare Oakdale with another place →

Weather by month in Oakdale

July is the warmest month at Modesto City Co Airport, CA, averaging 95°F by day and 63°F at night; December is the coldest at 56°F and 39°F. From March to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 45% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 5,078 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 66% of the 283 California stations. 38% of them (1,951) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 894. Precipitation totals 12.5 inches a year, most in January (2.6") and least in July (0.0"); May to September bring 8% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Modesto City Co Airport, CA
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan56392.676%528
Feb62422.245%188
Mar68451.84%0214
Apr74481.00%0334
May82540.70%0553
Jun90590.20%0734
Jul95630.00%0894
Aug94620.00%0860
Sep89590.10%0716
Oct79520.60%0473
Nov66431.133%1154
Dec56392.275%630

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Modesto City Co Airport, CA (73 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Turlock #2, CA, 19 miles south of Oakdale, has a last frost 25 days earlier (January 6), a first frost 15 days later (December 20), a season 39 days longer.

Frost dates for 95380 (Turlock) →

When it snows in Oakdale, California

Measurable snow is rare here: only 0 of 26 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Turlock #2, CA, 19 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 95361

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Oakdale, California
WhenWhat to do
November 22 – December 6Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
December 6 – December 20Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
January 3 – January 17Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
January 31 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by September 12Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 21Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
December 5 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 95361 is 12 miles from Modesto City Co Airport, CA, which stands at 73 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 14 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 95355 (Modesto). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 95361 in zone 9b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 25 to 30°F (-3.9 to -1.1°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across California →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 9b places in California