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USDA Hardiness Zone 8b

Frost Dates for 97127 — Lafayette, Oregon

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Mc Minnville, OR (155 ft), 3 miles southwest.

Updated

In Lafayette, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 5 in half of years and has passed by April 27 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 7, as early as October 20 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 216 days (NOAA, Mc Minnville, OR).

Last spring frost
April 5

50% probability

First fall frost
November 7

50% probability

Growing season
216 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8b

15 to 20°F (-9.4 to -6.7°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
37%

7 of 19 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Lafayette

Half of springs at Mc Minnville, OR see their last 32°F night by April 5; only one in ten is past it by March 5, and one in ten still has one after April 27. Planting tender crops after April 15 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 19 20%, and after April 27 10%. The 22 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 45% of the 103 Oregon stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 7 in half of years, as early as October 20 one year in ten, and holds off past December 1 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 21 days later, around November 28; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 20, 38 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 216 days in a typical year, longer than at 60% of the 103 Oregon stations; it reaches 255 days one year in ten and falls short of 186 one year in ten. On average 46 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 24 days longer, to about April 29, and return around October 22. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 78% of winters and 16°F in 9%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 12Apr 18Apr 23Apr 26Apr 29May 1May 4May 8May 15
32°FMar 5Mar 17Mar 25Mar 31Apr 5Apr 10Apr 15Apr 19Apr 27
28°F99% of yrsJan 3Jan 23Feb 3Feb 14Feb 20Feb 25Mar 2Mar 10Mar 20
24°F78% of yrsDec 7Dec 20Dec 31Jan 6Jan 13Jan 23Feb 1Feb 12Feb 20
20°F35% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F9% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 5Oct 10Oct 15Oct 18Oct 22Oct 25Oct 29Nov 2Nov 9
32°FOct 20Oct 26Oct 30Nov 3Nov 7Nov 11Nov 16Nov 22Dec 1
28°F99% of yrsNov 5Nov 13Nov 17Nov 23Nov 28Dec 2Dec 9Dec 19Jan 2
24°F78% of yrsNov 18Nov 28Dec 2Dec 8Dec 16Dec 24Jan 1Jan 12Jan 31
20°F35% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F9% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Mc Minnville, OR, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 97127 →Compare Lafayette with another place →

Weather by month in Lafayette

July is the warmest month at Mc Minnville, OR, averaging 83°F by day and 54°F at night; December is the coldest at 46°F and 35°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to February (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, March still brings one in 80% of years and April still brings one in 57% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,476 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 68% of the 103 Oregon stations. 30% of them (744) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 578.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Mc Minnville, OR
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan473696%114
Feb513691%86
Mar563880%625
Apr624157%278
May70466%<1251
Jun75500%0381
Jul83540%0578
Aug83540%0570
Sep77500%<1410
Oct644432%1152
Nov533985%719
Dec463598%113

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Mc Minnville, OR (155 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Mcminnville Municipal Airport, OR, 4 miles south of Lafayette, has a last frost 10 days later (April 15), a first frost 12 days earlier (October 26), a season 21 days shorter.

Frost dates for 97114 (Dayton) →

When it snows in Lafayette, Oregon

Measurable snow is rare here: only 7 of 19 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Mc Minnville, OR, 2.9 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 97127

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Lafayette, Oregon
WhenWhat to do
January 25 – February 8Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 8 – February 22Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 8 – March 22Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 5 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 15Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 24Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 7 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 97127 is 3 miles from Mc Minnville, OR, which stands at 155 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 3 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 97128 (Mcminnville). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 97127 in zone 8b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 15 to 20°F (-9.4 to -6.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Oregon →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 8b places in Oregon