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USDA Hardiness Zone 8b

Frost Dates for 98541 — Elma, Washington

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Elma, WA (70 ft), 2 miles south.

Updated

In Elma, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 1 in half of years and has passed by May 19 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 14, as early as September 29 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 169 days (NOAA, Elma, WA).

Last spring frost
May 1

50% probability

First fall frost
October 14

50% probability

Growing season
169 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8b

15 to 20°F (-9.4 to -6.7°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
40%

8 of 20 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Elma

Half of springs at Elma, WA see their last 32°F night by May 1; only one in ten is past it by April 11, and one in ten still has one after May 19. Planting tender crops after May 8 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 11 20%, and after May 19 10%. The 18 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 56% of the 113 Washington stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 14 in half of years, as early as September 29 one year in ten, and holds off past November 4 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 19 days later, around November 2; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 3, 16 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 169 days in a typical year, shorter than at 69% of the 113 Washington stations; it reaches 197 days one year in ten and falls short of 143 one year in ten. On average 69 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 18 days longer, to about May 19, and return around September 29. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 99% of winters and 16°F in 45%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 1May 6May 10May 15May 19May 25May 29Jun 2Jun 11
32°FApr 11Apr 20Apr 24Apr 28May 1May 4May 8May 11May 19
28°FMar 8Mar 18Mar 26Mar 31Apr 3Apr 10Apr 18Apr 25May 3
24°F99% of yrsJan 21Feb 9Feb 17Feb 25Mar 1Mar 9Mar 15Mar 23Apr 2
20°F83% of yrsDec 4Dec 19Jan 1Jan 16Jan 31Feb 9Feb 15Feb 24Mar 2
16°F45% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 12Sep 18Sep 22Sep 26Sep 29Oct 1Oct 4Oct 8Oct 15
32°FSep 29Oct 3Oct 5Oct 9Oct 14Oct 18Oct 23Oct 29Nov 4
28°FOct 10Oct 18Oct 24Oct 29Nov 2Nov 7Nov 13Nov 19Nov 27
24°F99% of yrsOct 31Nov 7Nov 13Nov 18Nov 24Nov 29Dec 5Dec 14Jan 2
20°F83% of yrsNov 11Nov 22Nov 29Dec 5Dec 11Dec 19Jan 1Jan 17Feb 8
16°F45% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Elma, WA, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 98541 →Compare Elma with another place →

Weather by month in Elma

August is the warmest month at Elma, WA, averaging 80°F by day and 52°F at night; December is the coldest at 47°F and 34°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 50% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,043 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 54% of the 113 Washington stations. 30% of them (617) have built up by the end of June, and August adds the most, 482. Precipitation totals 72.1 inches a year, most in November (11.4") and least in July (0.8"); May to September bring 14% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Elma, WA
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan493511.1100%133
Feb52347.0100%124
Mar56368.2100%1021
Apr62395.495%572
May68443.350%2206
Jun72482.21%0311
Jul78520.80%0467
Aug80521.40%0482
Sep75482.712%<1342
Oct64417.280%4116
Nov533711.499%1017
Dec473411.4100%132

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Elma, WA (70 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Shelton Sanderson Field, WA, 19 miles northeast of Elma and 201 feet higher, has a last frost 4 days earlier (April 27), a first frost 2 days later (October 16), a season 6 days longer.

Frost dates for 98584 (Shelton) →

When it snows in Elma, Washington

Measurable snow is rare here: only 8 of 20 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Elma, WA, 1.9 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 98541

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Elma, Washington
WhenWhat to do
February 20 – March 6Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 6 – March 20Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 3 – April 17Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 1 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 22Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 30Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 14 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 98541 is 2 miles from Elma, WA, which stands at 70 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 3 other ZIP codes share the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 98541 in zone 8b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 15 to 20°F (-9.4 to -6.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Washington →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 8b places in Washington