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USDA Hardiness Zone 3b

Frost Dates for 99712 — Fairbanks, Alaska

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Fairbanks 11 NE, AK (1,140 ft), 3 miles north.

Updated

In Fairbanks, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 12 in half of years and has passed by May 29 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around September 16, as early as August 29 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 124 days (NOAA, Fairbanks 11 NE, AK).

Last spring frost
May 12

50% probability

First fall frost
September 16

50% probability

Growing season
124 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
3b

-35 to -30°F (-37.2 to -34.4°C) coldest night

First snow
October 7

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 8

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

23 of 23 observed

Snow per year
53.1"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Fairbanks

Half of springs at Fairbanks 11 NE, AK see their last 32°F night by May 12; only one in ten is past it by May 2, and one in ten still has one after May 29. Planting tender crops after May 19 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 22 20%, and after May 29 10%. The 17 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 89% of the 37 Alaska stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by September 16 in half of years, as early as August 29 one year in ten, and holds off past September 28 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 10 days later, around September 26; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 17, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 124 days in a typical year, shorter than at 59% of the 37 Alaska stations; it reaches 144 days one year in ten and falls short of 102 one year in ten. On average 209 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about May 24, and return around September 2. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between October 18 and April 12.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 11May 14May 18May 21May 24May 28May 31Jun 2Jun 7
32°FMay 2May 5May 8May 10May 12May 15May 19May 22May 29
28°FApr 21Apr 27Apr 30May 3May 5May 7May 9May 12May 17
24°FApr 12Apr 18Apr 21Apr 24Apr 28Apr 30May 2May 5May 10
20°FApr 6Apr 10Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 23Apr 26Apr 30May 4
16°FApr 2Apr 5Apr 7Apr 10Apr 12Apr 15Apr 19Apr 23Apr 30
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FAug 16Aug 21Aug 26Aug 30Sep 2Sep 6Sep 10Sep 14Sep 19
32°FAug 29Sep 3Sep 9Sep 13Sep 16Sep 19Sep 22Sep 24Sep 28
28°FSep 10Sep 16Sep 20Sep 23Sep 26Sep 28Sep 30Oct 4Oct 8
24°FSep 19Sep 26Sep 29Oct 1Oct 3Oct 6Oct 9Oct 12Oct 17
20°FSep 28Oct 1Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11Oct 13Oct 17Oct 20Oct 24
16°FOct 3Oct 8Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 20Oct 23Oct 25Oct 29

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Fairbanks 11 NE, AK, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 99712 →Compare Fairbanks with another place →

Weather by month in Fairbanks

July is the warmest month at Fairbanks 11 NE, AK, averaging 68°F by day and 51°F at night; January is the coldest at 10°F and -2°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from September to May (a 90% chance or more). From June to July the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month.

Warmth for growing adds up to 786 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 62% of the 37 Alaska stations. 39% of them (308) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 302. Precipitation totals 15.2 inches a year, most in July (2.9") and least in March (0.5"); May to September bring 70% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Fairbanks 11 NE, AK
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan10-20.6100%310
Feb1730.6100%280
Mar2480.5100%310
Apr42250.7100%234
May57380.992%564
Jun67482.26%<1240
Jul68512.90%0302
Aug61472.916%<1150
Sep52371.793%725
Oct33220.8100%252
Nov1860.8100%290
Dec1400.6100%310

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Fairbanks 11 NE, AK (1,140 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Aurora, AK, 8 miles southwest of Fairbanks and 697 feet lower, has a last frost 4 days later (May 16), a first frost 10 days earlier (September 6), a season 12 days shorter.

Frost dates for 99701 (Fairbanks) →

When it snows in Fairbanks, Alaska

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Fairbanks usually arrives around October 7, and the last of the season around April 8. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Gilmore Creek, AK, 3.6 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 34 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 99712

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Fairbanks, Alaska
WhenWhat to do
March 3 – March 17Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 17 – March 31Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 14 – April 28Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 12 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by June 24Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 2Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
September 16 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 99712 is 3 miles from Fairbanks 11 NE, AK, which stands at 1,140 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 99712 in zone 3b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -35 to -30°F (-37.2 to -34.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Alaska →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 3b places in Alaska