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USDA Hardiness Zone 5b

Frost Dates for 01475 — Winchendon, Massachusetts

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Birch Hill Dam, MA (855 ft), 5 miles southwest.

Updated

In Winchendon, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 6 in half of years and has passed by May 19 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 1, as early as September 19 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 148 days (NOAA, Birch Hill Dam, MA).

Last spring frost
May 6

50% probability

First fall frost
October 1

50% probability

Growing season
148 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5b

-15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) coldest night

First snow
November 29

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 25

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

25 of 25 observed

Snow per year
50.9"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Winchendon

Half of springs at Birch Hill Dam, MA see their last 32°F night by May 6; only one in ten is past it by April 25, and one in ten still has one after May 19. Planting tender crops after May 11 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 15 20%, and after May 19 10%. The 13 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 51% of the 71 Massachusetts stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 1 in half of years, as early as September 19 one year in ten, and holds off past October 16 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 11 days later, around October 12; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 5, 14 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 148 days in a typical year, shorter than at 94% of the 71 Massachusetts stations; it reaches 166 days one year in ten and falls short of 131 one year in ten. On average 178 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about May 19, and return around September 23. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 23 and March 24.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 5May 10May 13May 16May 19May 22May 25May 28Jun 3
32°FApr 25Apr 29May 1May 3May 6May 8May 11May 15May 19
28°FApr 10Apr 14Apr 18Apr 21Apr 23Apr 26Apr 29May 2May 5
24°FMar 31Apr 3Apr 5Apr 7Apr 9Apr 12Apr 15Apr 18Apr 22
20°FMar 18Mar 24Mar 28Mar 31Apr 1Apr 3Apr 4Apr 7Apr 11
16°FMar 10Mar 14Mar 17Mar 21Mar 24Mar 27Mar 31Apr 1Apr 4
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 9Sep 14Sep 17Sep 20Sep 23Sep 26Sep 28Oct 1Oct 4
32°FSep 19Sep 24Sep 27Sep 30Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7Oct 10Oct 16
28°FSep 29Oct 2Oct 5Oct 8Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 23Oct 31
24°FOct 7Oct 14Oct 18Oct 22Oct 25Oct 29Nov 1Nov 5Nov 11
20°FOct 20Oct 28Nov 1Nov 3Nov 7Nov 11Nov 16Nov 20Nov 26
16°FNov 4Nov 11Nov 16Nov 19Nov 23Nov 26Nov 30Dec 3Dec 9

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Birch Hill Dam, MA, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 01475 →Compare Winchendon with another place →

Frost risk through the year in Winchendon

Frost curve for Winchendon, Massachusetts (Birch Hill Dam, MA, NOAA 1991–2020): the chance of another 32°F night falls from 90% on April 25 to 50% on May 6 and 10% on May 19; the chance that the first fall one has come rises from 10% on September 19 to 50% on October 1 and 90% on October 16.

In Winchendon, the spring curve drops under 10% on May 19 and the fall curve passes 10% on September 19, 123 days later; that gap is shorter than at 93% of the 71 Massachusetts stations with frost dates. The spring risk falls from 90% to 10% over 24 days (April 25 to May 19) and the fall risk climbs from 10% to 90% over 27 days (September 19 to October 16): both ends of the season vary about as much. At Ashburnham N, MA, 6 miles east, the same gap runs from May 19 to September 24, 5 days longer.

Chance of a frost after each planting date in Winchendon
Planted onAnother 32°F night28°F night
Apr 22over 90%55%
Apr 2980%30%
May 650% date50%under 10%
May 1325%under 10%
May 20under 10%under 10%
May 27under 10%under 10%

Weather by month in Winchendon

July is the warmest month at Birch Hill Dam, MA, averaging 82°F by day and 59°F at night; January is the coldest at 32°F and 12°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 72% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,282 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 93% of the 71 Massachusetts stations. 31% of them (707) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 623. Precipitation totals 48.6 inches a year, most in October (4.9") and least in February (3.2"); May to September bring 43% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Birch Hill Dam, MA
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan32123.5100%300
Feb35133.2100%270
Mar43214.0100%284
Apr56333.7100%1944
May68443.672%4213
Jun76534.51%0446
Jul82594.40%0623
Aug80564.30%0560
Sep73484.342%2313
Oct60364.998%1570
Nov48283.9100%249
Dec37204.3100%291

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Birch Hill Dam, MA (855 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Ashburnham N, MA, 6 miles east of Winchendon and 291 feet higher, has a last frost 1 day earlier (May 5), a first frost 6 days later (October 7), a season 4 days longer.

Frost dates for 01430 (Ashburnham) →

When it snows in Winchendon, Massachusetts

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Winchendon usually arrives around November 29, and the last of the season around March 25. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Birch Hill Dam, MA, 4.9 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 42 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 01475

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Winchendon, Massachusetts
WhenWhat to do
February 25 – March 11Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 11 – March 25Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 8 – April 22Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 6 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 9Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 17Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 1 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 01475 is 5 miles from Birch Hill Dam, MA, which stands at 855 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 01475 in zone 5b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Massachusetts →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 5b places in Massachusetts