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USDA Hardiness Zone 4b

Frost Dates for 05859 — Jay, Vermont

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Jay Peak, VT (1,840 ft), 5 miles southwest.

Updated

In Jay, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 14 in half of years and has passed by May 31 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 1, as early as September 19 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 138 days (NOAA, Jay Peak, VT).

Last spring frost
May 14

50% probability

First fall frost
October 1

50% probability

Growing season
138 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
4b

-25 to -20°F (-31.7 to -28.9°C) coldest night

First snow
October 23

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 22

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

23 of 23 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Jay

Half of springs at Jay Peak, VT see their last 32°F night by May 14; only one in ten is past it by April 30, and one in ten still has one after May 31. Planting tender crops after May 21 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 25 20%, and after May 31 10%. The 17 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is the widest of the 41 Vermont stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 1 in half of years, as early as September 19 one year in ten, and holds off past October 13 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 8 days later, around October 9; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 18, 13 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 138 days in a typical year, shorter than at 68% of the 41 Vermont stations; it reaches 156 days one year in ten and falls short of 119 one year in ten. On average 182 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 14 days longer, to about May 28, and return around September 21. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 10 and April 7.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 12May 18May 21May 25May 28May 31Jun 3Jun 6Jun 10
32°FApr 30May 4May 8May 11May 14May 17May 21May 25May 31
28°FApr 21Apr 25Apr 28Apr 30May 2May 4May 7May 11May 18
24°FApr 11Apr 16Apr 19Apr 21Apr 23Apr 26Apr 28Apr 30May 5
20°FApr 3Apr 7Apr 9Apr 12Apr 14Apr 17Apr 19Apr 21Apr 24
16°FMar 29Apr 1Apr 3Apr 5Apr 7Apr 9Apr 12Apr 15Apr 19
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 8Sep 12Sep 15Sep 18Sep 21Sep 23Sep 25Sep 29Oct 3
32°FSep 19Sep 23Sep 26Sep 29Oct 1Oct 2Oct 5Oct 8Oct 13
28°FSep 29Oct 1Oct 4Oct 6Oct 9Oct 12Oct 16Oct 21Oct 27
24°FOct 3Oct 9Oct 13Oct 17Oct 21Oct 25Oct 28Nov 1Nov 6
20°FOct 14Oct 21Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 10Nov 15
16°FOct 28Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 20Nov 26

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Jay Peak, VT, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 05859 →Compare Jay with another place →

Weather by month in Jay

July is the warmest month at Jay Peak, VT, averaging 74°F by day and 56°F at night; January is the coldest at 24°F and 4°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 88% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 1,567 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 98% of the 41 Vermont stations. 29% of them (454) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 456.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Jay Peak, VT
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan244100%301
Feb266100%270
Mar3415100%292
Apr4628100%2214
May614188%6125
Jun70518%0312
Jul74560%0456
Aug72540%0408
Sep664646%1209
Oct523599%1337
Nov4024100%243
Dec2913100%300

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Jay Peak, VT (1,840 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Newport, VT, 11 miles east of Jay and 1,050 feet lower, has the same 50% last-frost date, a first frost 1 day earlier (September 30).

Frost dates for 05855 (Newport) →

When it snows in Jay, Vermont

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Jay usually arrives around October 23, and the last of the season around April 22. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Jay Peak, VT, 4.5 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 22 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 05859

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Jay, Vermont
WhenWhat to do
March 5 – March 19Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 19 – April 2Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 16 – April 30Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 14 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 9Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 17Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 1 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 05859 is 5 miles from Jay Peak, VT, which stands at 1,840 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station; its figures are presented in full for 05476 (Richford). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 05859 in zone 4b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -25 to -20°F (-31.7 to -28.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Vermont →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 4b places in Vermont