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USDA Hardiness Zone 8a

Frost Dates for 27526 — Fuquay Varina, North Carolina

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from New Hill, NC (320 ft), 10 miles northwest.

Updated

In Fuquay Varina, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 6 in half of years and has passed by April 21 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 3, as early as October 23 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 209 days (NOAA, New Hill, NC).

Last spring frost
April 6

50% probability

First fall frost
November 3

50% probability

Growing season
209 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8a

10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
35%

7 of 20 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Fuquay Varina

Half of springs at New Hill, NC see their last 32°F night by April 6; only one in ten is past it by March 21, and one in ten still has one after April 21. Planting tender crops after April 13 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 17 20%, and after April 21 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 57% of the 173 North Carolina stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 3 in half of years, as early as October 23 one year in ten, and holds off past November 15 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 10 days later, around November 13; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 13, 8 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 209 days in a typical year, shorter than at 60% of the 173 North Carolina stations; it reaches 231 days one year in ten and falls short of 191 one year in ten. On average 89 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about April 19, and return around October 26. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes in 93% of winters, usually between January 3 and February 4.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 4Apr 10Apr 14Apr 17Apr 19Apr 22Apr 25Apr 29May 4
32°FMar 21Mar 28Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 10Apr 13Apr 17Apr 21
28°FMar 10Mar 16Mar 20Mar 24Mar 28Mar 31Apr 2Apr 6Apr 13
24°FFeb 23Mar 1Mar 5Mar 10Mar 15Mar 18Mar 22Mar 28Apr 1
20°FJan 27Feb 4Feb 13Feb 23Feb 28Mar 3Mar 8Mar 14Mar 21
16°F93% of yrsJan 8Jan 18Jan 26Jan 31Feb 4Feb 13Feb 24Mar 1Mar 9
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 16Oct 20Oct 22Oct 25Oct 26Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2Nov 6
32°FOct 23Oct 27Oct 31Nov 1Nov 3Nov 5Nov 8Nov 11Nov 15
28°FNov 1Nov 5Nov 7Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 19Nov 23Dec 1
24°FNov 8Nov 13Nov 17Nov 20Nov 25Nov 29Dec 3Dec 8Dec 21
20°FNov 20Nov 28Dec 2Dec 7Dec 13Dec 22Dec 29Jan 3Jan 11
16°F93% of yrsDec 7Dec 17Dec 26Dec 31Jan 3Jan 8Jan 13Jan 18Jan 29

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at New Hill, NC, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 27526 →Compare Fuquay Varina with another place →

Frost risk through the year in Fuquay Varina

Frost curve for Fuquay Varina, North Carolina (New Hill, NC, NOAA 1991–2020): the chance of another 32°F night falls from 90% on March 21 to 50% on April 6 and 10% on April 21; the chance that the first fall one has come rises from 10% on October 23 to 50% on November 3 and 90% on November 15.

In Fuquay Varina, the spring curve drops under 10% on April 21 and the fall curve passes 10% on October 23, 185 days later; that gap is shorter than at 56% of the 172 North Carolina stations with frost dates. The spring risk falls from 90% to 10% over 31 days (March 21 to April 21) and the fall risk climbs from 10% to 90% over 23 days (October 23 to November 15): the last frost moves more from year to year than the first. At Cary, NC, 10 miles north, the same gap runs from April 12 to October 30, 16 days longer.

Chance of a frost after each planting date in Fuquay Varina
Planted onAnother 32°F night28°F night
Mar 2387%63%
Mar 3075%43%
Apr 650% date50%20%
Apr 1330%under 10%
Apr 2013%under 10%
Apr 27under 10%under 10%

Weather by month in Fuquay Varina

July is the warmest month at New Hill, NC, averaging 89°F by day and 68°F at night; January is the coldest at 51°F and 28°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 71% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,538 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 56% of the 173 North Carolina stations. 38% of them (1,725) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 888.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at New Hill, NC
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan5128100%2324
Feb5530100%1840
Mar623698%13112
Apr724571%4279
May79551%0532
Jun86630%0738
Jul89680%0888
Aug88660%0831
Sep82600%0631
Oct724835%1333
Nov623799%1391
Dec543199%1939

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at New Hill, NC (320 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Cary, NC, 10 miles north of Fuquay Varina, has a last frost 6 days earlier (March 31), a first frost 7 days later (November 10), a season 17 days longer.

Frost dates for 27511 (Cary) →

When it snows in Fuquay Varina, North Carolina

Measurable snow is rare here: only 7 of 20 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Raleigh 4 SW, NC, 12.6 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 27526

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Fuquay Varina, North Carolina
WhenWhat to do
January 26 – February 9Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 9 – February 23Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 9 – March 23Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 6 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 11Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 20Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 3 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 27526 is 10 miles from New Hill, NC, which stands at 320 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 27526 in zone 8a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across North Carolina →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 8a places in North Carolina