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USDA Hardiness Zone 8a

Frost Dates for 27592 — Willow Spring, North Carolina

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Garner, NC (330 ft), 8 miles north.

Updated

In Willow Spring, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 1 in half of years and has passed by April 15 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 1, as early as October 19 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 213 days (NOAA, Garner, NC).

Last spring frost
April 1

50% probability

First fall frost
November 1

50% probability

Growing season
213 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8a

10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
35%

7 of 20 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Willow Spring

Half of springs at Garner, NC see their last 32°F night by April 1; only one in ten is past it by March 17, and one in ten still has one after April 15. Planting tender crops after April 6 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 10 20%, and after April 15 10%. The 14 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 79% of the 173 North Carolina stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 1 in half of years, as early as October 19 one year in ten, and holds off past November 15 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around November 10; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 5, 10 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 213 days in a typical year, shorter than at 57% of the 173 North Carolina stations; it reaches 234 days one year in ten and falls short of 195 one year in ten. On average 88 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about April 13, and return around October 23. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 100% of winters and 16°F in 87%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 31Apr 3Apr 7Apr 10Apr 13Apr 17Apr 20Apr 23Apr 30
32°FMar 17Mar 22Mar 27Mar 31Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 10Apr 15
28°FMar 4Mar 11Mar 15Mar 19Mar 22Mar 26Mar 29Mar 31Apr 5
24°FFeb 16Feb 26Mar 2Mar 5Mar 10Mar 14Mar 18Mar 22Mar 27
20°F99% of yrsJan 24Feb 3Feb 10Feb 18Feb 25Mar 1Mar 5Mar 10Mar 16
16°F87% of yrsJan 4Jan 15Jan 22Jan 29Feb 2Feb 8Feb 15Feb 25Mar 5
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 23Oct 26Oct 30Nov 1Nov 5
32°FOct 19Oct 23Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 6Nov 10Nov 15
28°FOct 28Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 14Nov 18Nov 23Dec 1
24°FNov 6Nov 12Nov 17Nov 21Nov 26Nov 30Dec 3Dec 9Dec 21
20°F99% of yrsNov 20Nov 29Dec 3Dec 8Dec 14Dec 22Dec 29Jan 4Jan 13
16°F87% of yrsDec 7Dec 14Dec 25Jan 1Jan 4Jan 10Jan 15Jan 20Jan 31

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Garner, NC, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 27592 →Compare Willow Spring with another place →

Weather by month in Willow Spring

July is the warmest month at Garner, NC, averaging 88°F by day and 67°F at night; January is the coldest at 52°F and 28°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 53% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,295 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 66% of the 173 North Carolina stations. 39% of them (1,659) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 851.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Garner, NC
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan5228100%2319
Feb5629100%1829
Mar643598%14107
Apr724553%1276
May78550%0509
Jun85640%0720
Jul88670%0851
Aug87660%0817
Sep80600%0591
Oct714645%1280
Nov613699%1370
Dec543099%1829

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Garner, NC (330 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Raleigh 4 SW, NC, 12 miles north of Willow Spring, has a last frost 4 days earlier (March 28), a first frost 8 days later (November 9), a season 14 days longer.

Frost dates for 27610 (Raleigh) →

When it snows in Willow Spring, North Carolina

Measurable snow is rare here: only 7 of 20 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Raleigh 4 SW, NC, 12.1 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 27592

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Willow Spring, North Carolina
WhenWhat to do
January 21 – February 4Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 4 – February 18Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 4 – March 18Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 1 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 9Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 18Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 1 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 27592 is 8 miles from Garner, NC, which stands at 330 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station; its figures are presented in full for 27529 (Garner). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 27592 in zone 8a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across North Carolina →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 8a places in North Carolina