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USDA Hardiness Zone 8a

Frost Dates for 27613 — Raleigh, North Carolina

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Raleigh Durham International Airport, NC (416 ft), 4 miles west.

Updated

In Raleigh, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 31 in half of years and has passed by April 16 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 4, as early as October 23 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 219 days (NOAA, Raleigh Durham International Airport, NC).

Last spring frost
March 31

50% probability

First fall frost
November 4

50% probability

Growing season
219 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8a

10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) coldest night

First snow
January 10

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
February 20

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
87%

26 of 30 observed

Snow per year
5.2"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Raleigh

Half of springs at Raleigh Durham International Airport, NC see their last 32°F night by March 31; only one in ten is past it by March 15, and one in ten still has one after April 16. Planting tender crops after April 6 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 11 20%, and after April 16 10%. The 16 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 35% of the 173 North Carolina stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 4 in half of years, as early as October 23 one year in ten, and holds off past November 17 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 12 days later, around November 16; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 3, 13 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 219 days in a typical year, longer than at 52% of the 173 North Carolina stations; it reaches 241 days one year in ten and falls short of 198 one year in ten. On average 65 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about April 13, and return around October 27. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 100% of winters and 16°F in 81%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 29Apr 3Apr 7Apr 10Apr 13Apr 16Apr 18Apr 22Apr 28
32°FMar 15Mar 21Mar 25Mar 28Mar 31Apr 3Apr 6Apr 11Apr 16
28°FFeb 25Mar 4Mar 10Mar 15Mar 18Mar 22Mar 26Mar 30Apr 3
24°FFeb 4Feb 14Feb 21Feb 27Mar 2Mar 7Mar 13Mar 18Mar 24
20°F98% of yrsJan 14Jan 26Jan 31Feb 5Feb 12Feb 19Feb 26Mar 3Mar 11
16°F81% of yrsJan 1Jan 10Jan 17Jan 22Jan 27Jan 31Feb 4Feb 14Feb 28
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 15Oct 19Oct 22Oct 25Oct 27Oct 29Oct 31Nov 3Nov 6
32°FOct 23Oct 28Oct 31Nov 2Nov 4Nov 6Nov 9Nov 13Nov 17
28°FNov 2Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 16Nov 19Nov 24Nov 30Dec 5
24°FNov 12Nov 20Nov 25Nov 30Dec 3Dec 6Dec 12Dec 20Jan 1
20°F98% of yrsNov 30Dec 5Dec 11Dec 17Dec 24Dec 31Jan 4Jan 11Jan 20
16°F81% of yrsDec 13Dec 23Jan 1Jan 3Jan 8Jan 14Jan 18Jan 24Feb 2

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Raleigh Durham International Airport, NC, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 27613 →Compare Raleigh with another place →

Weather by month in Raleigh

July is the warmest month at Raleigh Durham International Airport, NC, averaging 91°F by day and 70°F at night; January is the coldest at 52°F and 32°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 48% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 5,037 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 72% of the 173 North Carolina stations. 39% of them (1,964) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 945. Precipitation totals 46.1 inches a year, most in September (5.2") and least in February (2.8"); May to September bring 48% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Raleigh Durham International Airport, NC
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan52323.4100%1837
Feb56342.8100%1453
Mar63404.194%8152
Apr73493.548%1337
May80583.40%0585
Jun87663.90%0801
Jul91705.00%0945
Aug89694.70%0893
Sep83635.20%0678
Oct73503.432%1370
Nov63403.397%8132
Dec55343.498%1555

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Raleigh Durham International Airport, NC (416 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Falls Lake, NC, 7 miles northeast of Raleigh, has a last frost 4 days later (April 4), the same first-frost date, a season 6 days shorter.

Frost dates for 27587 (Wake Forest) →

When it snows in Raleigh, North Carolina

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Raleigh usually arrives around January 10, and the last of the season around February 20. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Raleigh Durham International Airport, NC, 4 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Snow fell in 87% of those winters. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 39 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 27613

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Raleigh, North Carolina
WhenWhat to do
January 20 – February 3Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 3 – February 17Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 3 – March 17Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 31 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 12Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 21Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 4 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 27613 is 4 miles from Raleigh Durham International Airport, NC, which stands at 416 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 4 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 27703 (Durham). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 27613 in zone 8a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across North Carolina →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 8a places in North Carolina