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USDA Hardiness Zone 8a

Frost Dates for 27856 — Nashville, North Carolina

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Rocky Mt Wilson Airport, NC (160 ft), 10 miles southeast.

Updated

In Nashville, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 1 in half of years and has passed by April 16 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 5, as early as October 25 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 219 days (NOAA, Rocky Mt Wilson Airport, NC).

Last spring frost
April 1

50% probability

First fall frost
November 5

50% probability

Growing season
219 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8a

10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
20%

4 of 20 observed

Snow per year
0.7"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Nashville

Half of springs at Rocky Mt Wilson Airport, NC see their last 32°F night by April 1; only one in ten is past it by March 16, and one in ten still has one after April 16. Planting tender crops after April 7 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 11 20%, and after April 16 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 57% of the 173 North Carolina stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 5 in half of years, as early as October 25 one year in ten, and holds off past November 19 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 11 days later, around November 16; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 6, 10 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 219 days in a typical year, longer than at 52% of the 173 North Carolina stations; it reaches 240 days one year in ten and falls short of 200 one year in ten. On average 69 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about April 13, and return around October 28. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 100% of winters and 16°F in 82%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 30Apr 3Apr 7Apr 10Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 24May 1
32°FMar 16Mar 22Mar 26Mar 30Apr 1Apr 4Apr 7Apr 11Apr 16
28°FMar 1Mar 9Mar 14Mar 18Mar 21Mar 25Mar 29Apr 1Apr 6
24°FFeb 10Feb 21Feb 27Mar 2Mar 6Mar 11Mar 15Mar 19Mar 25
20°F99% of yrsJan 21Jan 31Feb 6Feb 13Feb 19Feb 25Mar 1Mar 6Mar 13
16°F82% of yrsJan 2Jan 13Jan 20Jan 27Jan 31Feb 6Feb 13Feb 20Mar 1
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 16Oct 20Oct 23Oct 26Oct 28Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 8
32°FOct 25Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 5Nov 7Nov 10Nov 14Nov 19
28°FNov 1Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 16Nov 19Nov 23Nov 29Dec 4
24°FNov 11Nov 18Nov 22Nov 27Dec 1Dec 5Dec 11Dec 20Jan 1
20°F99% of yrsNov 26Dec 1Dec 7Dec 15Dec 24Dec 30Jan 4Jan 11Jan 22
16°F82% of yrsDec 10Dec 22Dec 30Jan 3Jan 9Jan 14Jan 18Jan 27Feb 11

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Rocky Mt Wilson Airport, NC, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 27856 →Compare Nashville with another place →

Weather by month in Nashville

July is the warmest month at Rocky Mt Wilson Airport, NC, averaging 91°F by day and 69°F at night; January is the coldest at 52°F and 31°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 53% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,867 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 61% of the 173 North Carolina stations. 39% of them (1,874) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 922. Precipitation totals 44.4 inches a year, most in August (4.9") and least in February (2.9"); May to September bring 48% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Rocky Mt Wilson Airport, NC
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan52313.5100%1938
Feb55332.9100%1548
Mar63394.096%9135
Apr73483.653%1316
May80562.90%0563
Jun87653.90%0775
Jul91694.60%0922
Aug88684.90%0868
Sep83624.90%0666
Oct73503.229%1365
Nov63393.197%8119
Dec55342.998%1654

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Rocky Mt Wilson Airport, NC (160 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Rocky Mt 8 ESE, NC, 17 miles southeast of Nashville, has a last frost 1 day earlier (March 31), a first frost 2 days later (November 7), a season 4 days longer.

Frost dates for 27801 (Rocky Mount) →

When it snows in Nashville, North Carolina

Measurable snow is rare here: only 4 of 20 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Rocky Mt, NC, 8.8 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 27856

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Nashville, North Carolina
WhenWhat to do
January 21 – February 4Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 4 – February 18Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 4 – March 18Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 1 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 13Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 22Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 5 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 27856 is 10 miles from Rocky Mt Wilson Airport, NC, which stands at 160 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 4 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 27804 (Rocky Mount). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 27856 in zone 8a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across North Carolina →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 8a places in North Carolina