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USDA Hardiness Zone 8a

Frost Dates for 27976 — South Mills, North Carolina

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Wallaceton-Lake Drummond, VA (20 ft), 12 miles northwest.

Updated

In South Mills, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 20 in half of years and has passed by May 9 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 27, as early as October 17 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 190 days (NOAA, Wallaceton-Lake Drummond, VA).

Last spring frost
April 20

50% probability

First fall frost
October 27

50% probability

Growing season
190 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8a

10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
10%

2 of 20 observed

Snow per year
0.2"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in South Mills

Half of springs at Wallaceton-Lake Drummond, VA see their last 32°F night by April 20; only one in ten is past it by April 2, and one in ten still has one after May 9. Planting tender crops after April 28 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 2 20%, and after May 9 10%. The 19 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 90% of the 173 North Carolina stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 27 in half of years, as early as October 17 one year in ten, and holds off past November 7 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 8 days later, around November 4; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 28, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 190 days in a typical year, shorter than at 83% of the 173 North Carolina stations; it reaches 211 days one year in ten and falls short of 165 one year in ten. On average 109 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about May 1, and return around October 19. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 14 and February 28.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 16Apr 21Apr 25Apr 29May 1May 4May 8May 13May 20
32°FApr 2Apr 8Apr 13Apr 17Apr 20Apr 24Apr 28May 2May 9
28°FMar 23Mar 29Mar 31Apr 4Apr 7Apr 11Apr 16Apr 21Apr 28
24°FMar 6Mar 17Mar 21Mar 25Mar 29Mar 31Apr 3Apr 7Apr 13
20°FFeb 20Feb 28Mar 6Mar 11Mar 15Mar 19Mar 23Mar 28Apr 1
16°FJan 29Feb 6Feb 15Feb 22Feb 28Mar 4Mar 8Mar 14Mar 19
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 6Oct 11Oct 14Oct 16Oct 19Oct 21Oct 23Oct 25Oct 28
32°FOct 17Oct 21Oct 23Oct 25Oct 27Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 7
28°FOct 26Oct 29Nov 1Nov 2Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 13Nov 20
24°FNov 1Nov 5Nov 8Nov 11Nov 15Nov 18Nov 23Nov 28Dec 3
20°FNov 8Nov 14Nov 18Nov 23Nov 28Dec 1Dec 5Dec 12Dec 25
16°FNov 18Nov 26Dec 2Dec 7Dec 14Dec 22Dec 31Jan 5Jan 14

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Wallaceton-Lake Drummond, VA, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 27976 →Compare South Mills with another place →

Weather by month in South Mills

July is the warmest month at Wallaceton-Lake Drummond, VA, averaging 91°F by day and 63°F at night; January is the coldest at 53°F and 24°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 23% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,136 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 74% of the 173 North Carolina stations. 36% of them (1,508) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 845. Precipitation totals 54.2 inches a year, most in July (5.6") and least in February (3.4"); May to September bring 48% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Wallaceton-Lake Drummond, VA
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan53244.2100%2513
Feb56253.4100%2226
Mar62314.2100%1873
Apr72414.190%5231
May81504.223%1474
Jun88585.20%0690
Jul91635.60%0845
Aug90605.60%0773
Sep84555.60%0589
Oct75444.470%3306
Nov65333.899%1482
Dec57273.9100%2233

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Wallaceton-Lake Drummond, VA (20 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Elizabeth City, NC, 12 miles southeast of South Mills, has a last frost 24 days earlier (March 27), a first frost 21 days later (November 17), a season 48 days longer.

Frost dates for 27909 (Elizabeth City) →

When it snows in South Mills, North Carolina

Measurable snow is rare here: only 2 of 20 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Elizabeth City, NC, 12 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 27976

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for South Mills, North Carolina
WhenWhat to do
February 9 – February 23Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 23 – March 9Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 23 – April 6Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 20 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 4Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 13Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 27 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 27976 is 12 miles from Wallaceton-Lake Drummond, VA, which stands at 20 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 27976 in zone 8a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across North Carolina →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 8a places in North Carolina