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USDA Hardiness Zone 8a

Frost Dates for 28453 — Magnolia, North Carolina

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Warsaw 5 E, NC (110 ft), 9 miles north.

Updated

In Magnolia, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 7 in half of years and has passed by April 22 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 30, as early as October 16 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 204 days (NOAA, Warsaw 5 E, NC).

Last spring frost
April 7

50% probability

First fall frost
October 30

50% probability

Growing season
204 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8a

10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
38%

8 of 21 observed

Snow per year
2"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Magnolia

Half of springs at Warsaw 5 E, NC see their last 32°F night by April 7; only one in ten is past it by March 23, and one in ten still has one after April 22. Planting tender crops after April 13 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 17 20%, and after April 22 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 57% of the 173 North Carolina stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 30 in half of years, as early as October 16 one year in ten, and holds off past November 11 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 8 days later, around November 7; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 13, 9 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 204 days in a typical year, shorter than at 68% of the 173 North Carolina stations; it reaches 226 days one year in ten and falls short of 187 one year in ten. On average 64 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about April 20, and return around October 22. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes in 93% of winters, usually between December 29 and February 4.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 6Apr 11Apr 15Apr 17Apr 20Apr 23Apr 27Apr 30May 6
32°FMar 23Mar 29Apr 1Apr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 13Apr 17Apr 22
28°FMar 9Mar 17Mar 21Mar 25Mar 29Mar 31Apr 3Apr 7Apr 13
24°FFeb 21Feb 28Mar 7Mar 12Mar 16Mar 20Mar 24Mar 29Apr 3
20°FJan 31Feb 9Feb 16Feb 24Feb 28Mar 4Mar 11Mar 16Mar 22
16°F93% of yrsJan 6Jan 17Jan 25Jan 31Feb 4Feb 12Feb 22Mar 1Mar 8
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 8Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 24Oct 27Oct 30Nov 2
32°FOct 16Oct 21Oct 24Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 11
28°FOct 25Oct 30Nov 2Nov 4Nov 7Nov 11Nov 14Nov 19Nov 25
24°FNov 3Nov 7Nov 11Nov 16Nov 20Nov 25Nov 30Dec 4Dec 12
20°FNov 12Nov 19Nov 25Dec 1Dec 6Dec 12Dec 19Dec 28Jan 6
16°F93% of yrsNov 28Dec 8Dec 15Dec 22Dec 29Jan 2Jan 8Jan 15Jan 26

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Warsaw 5 E, NC, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 28453 →Compare Magnolia with another place →

Weather by month in Magnolia

July is the warmest month at Warsaw 5 E, NC, averaging 88°F by day and 68°F at night; January is the coldest at 52°F and 30°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 71% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,498 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 58% of the 173 North Carolina stations. 38% of them (1,693) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 866. Precipitation totals 52.1 inches a year, most in September (7.0") and least in February (3.2"); May to September bring 53% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Warsaw 5 E, NC
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan52303.6100%1731
Feb55313.2100%1437
Mar62374.099%8117
Apr71463.371%1276
May78553.90%0511
Jun85645.10%0720
Jul88686.10%0866
Aug86665.60%0809
Sep81617.00%0628
Oct72483.457%1332
Nov62383.599%8120
Dec55333.499%1550

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Warsaw 5 E, NC (110 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Wallace 1SE, NC, 12 miles south of Magnolia, has a last frost 6 days earlier (April 1), a first frost 8 days later (November 7), a season 16 days longer.

Frost dates for 28466 (Wallace) →

When it snows in Magnolia, North Carolina

Measurable snow is rare here: only 8 of 21 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Warsaw 5 E, NC, 9.1 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 28453

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Magnolia, North Carolina
WhenWhat to do
January 27 – February 10Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 10 – February 24Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 10 – March 24Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 7 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 7Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 16Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 30 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 28453 is 9 miles from Warsaw 5 E, NC, which stands at 110 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 28398 (Warsaw). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 28453 in zone 8a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across North Carolina →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 8a places in North Carolina