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USDA Hardiness Zone 7b

Frost Dates for 28654 — Moravian Falls, North Carolina

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from W Kerr Scott Resv, NC (1,070 ft), 5 miles northwest.

Updated

In Moravian Falls, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 7 in half of years and has passed by April 22 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 1, as early as October 19 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 208 days (NOAA, W Kerr Scott Resv, NC).

Last spring frost
April 7

50% probability

First fall frost
November 1

50% probability

Growing season
208 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
7b

5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) coldest night

First snow
January 8

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
February 20

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
75%

21 of 28 observed

Snow per year
7.6"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Moravian Falls

Half of springs at W Kerr Scott Resv, NC see their last 32°F night by April 7; only one in ten is past it by March 24, and one in ten still has one after April 22. Planting tender crops after April 13 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 17 20%, and after April 22 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 57% of the 173 North Carolina stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 1 in half of years, as early as October 19 one year in ten, and holds off past November 12 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 10 days later, around November 11; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 10, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 208 days in a typical year, shorter than at 62% of the 173 North Carolina stations; it reaches 227 days one year in ten and falls short of 187 one year in ten. On average 98 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 14 days longer, to about April 21, and return around October 24. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes in 94% of winters, usually between January 1 and February 6.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 7Apr 11Apr 14Apr 17Apr 21Apr 24Apr 29May 2May 9
32°FMar 24Mar 30Apr 2Apr 5Apr 7Apr 10Apr 13Apr 17Apr 22
28°FMar 8Mar 15Mar 19Mar 23Mar 26Mar 30Apr 1Apr 5Apr 10
24°FFeb 21Feb 26Mar 3Mar 7Mar 11Mar 15Mar 19Mar 24Mar 30
20°FJan 31Feb 8Feb 13Feb 19Feb 25Feb 28Mar 5Mar 11Mar 18
16°F94% of yrsJan 10Jan 19Jan 27Feb 1Feb 6Feb 11Feb 20Feb 28Mar 7
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 11Oct 16Oct 19Oct 21Oct 24Oct 27Oct 29Nov 1Nov 4
32°FOct 19Oct 24Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 3Nov 5Nov 8Nov 12
28°FOct 29Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 11Nov 13Nov 16Nov 20Nov 28
24°FNov 9Nov 14Nov 17Nov 22Nov 25Nov 29Dec 2Dec 8Dec 16
20°FNov 22Nov 29Dec 2Dec 7Dec 12Dec 21Dec 26Jan 1Jan 8
16°F94% of yrsDec 5Dec 12Dec 20Dec 26Jan 1Jan 4Jan 9Jan 15Jan 25

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at W Kerr Scott Resv, NC, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 28654 →Compare Moravian Falls with another place →

Weather by month in Moravian Falls

July is the warmest month at W Kerr Scott Resv, NC, averaging 88°F by day and 66°F at night; January is the coldest at 49°F and 27°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 72% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,154 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 73% of the 173 North Carolina stations. 37% of them (1,550) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 834. Precipitation totals 52.6 inches a year, most in August (5.6") and least in February (3.4"); May to September bring 44% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at W Kerr Scott Resv, NC
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan49274.5100%2412
Feb53293.4100%2016
Mar61364.6100%1387
Apr71444.872%3244
May78544.73%0489
Jun85624.30%0702
Jul88664.30%0834
Aug86655.60%0794
Sep81594.40%0588
Oct72463.946%2292
Nov61363.599%1378
Dec52304.6100%2219

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at W Kerr Scott Resv, NC (1,070 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, N Wilkesboro, NC, 6 miles north of Moravian Falls, has a last frost 3 days later (April 10), a first frost 3 days earlier (October 29), a season 7 days shorter.

Frost dates for 28659 (North Wilkesboro) →

When it snows in Moravian Falls, North Carolina

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Moravian Falls usually arrives around January 8, and the last of the season around February 20. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at W Kerr Scott Resv, NC, 5.4 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Snow fell in 75% of those winters. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 46 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 28654

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Moravian Falls, North Carolina
WhenWhat to do
January 27 – February 10Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 10 – February 24Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 10 – March 24Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 7 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 9Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 18Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 1 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 28654 is 5 miles from W Kerr Scott Resv, NC, which stands at 1,070 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 28651 (Millers Creek). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 28654 in zone 7b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across North Carolina →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 7b places in North Carolina