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USDA Hardiness Zone 9a

Frost Dates for 31513 — Baxley, Georgia

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Baxley 5NNW, GA (213 ft), 5 miles north.

Updated

In Baxley, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 15 in half of years and has passed by March 31 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 18, as early as November 3 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 250 days (NOAA, Baxley 5NNW, GA).

Last spring frost
March 15

50% probability

First fall frost
November 18

50% probability

Growing season
250 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9a

20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
4%

1 of 26 observed

Snow per year
0.1"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Baxley

Half of springs at Baxley 5NNW, GA see their last 32°F night by March 15; only one in ten is past it by February 21, and one in ten still has one after March 31. Planting tender crops after March 23 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 27 20%, and after March 31 10%. The 16 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 70% of the 127 Georgia stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 18 in half of years, as early as November 3 one year in ten, and holds off past December 9 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 17 days later, around December 5; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 24, 7 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 250 days in a typical year, longer than at 68% of the 127 Georgia stations; it reaches 283 days one year in ten and falls short of 226 one year in ten. On average 37 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about March 27, and return around November 7. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 93% of winters and 16°F in 25%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 7Mar 14Mar 19Mar 22Mar 27Mar 30Apr 1Apr 4Apr 9
32°FFeb 21Mar 1Mar 7Mar 12Mar 15Mar 19Mar 23Mar 27Mar 31
28°FFeb 2Feb 12Feb 19Feb 26Mar 3Mar 8Mar 13Mar 17Mar 24
24°F93% of yrsJan 9Jan 23Jan 30Feb 3Feb 10Feb 18Feb 27Mar 4Mar 12
20°F64% of yrsDec 31Jan 8Jan 15Jan 21Jan 27Jan 31Feb 6Feb 16Mar 1
16°F25% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 25Oct 31Nov 2Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 23
32°FNov 3Nov 8Nov 11Nov 15Nov 18Nov 21Nov 27Dec 2Dec 9
28°FNov 12Nov 19Nov 26Dec 1Dec 5Dec 10Dec 16Dec 27Jan 6
24°F93% of yrsNov 30Dec 7Dec 15Dec 25Jan 1Jan 6Jan 10Jan 17Jan 30
20°F64% of yrsDec 11Dec 25Jan 1Jan 6Jan 10Jan 14Jan 19Jan 27Feb 11
16°F25% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Baxley 5NNW, GA, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 31513 →Compare Baxley with another place →

Weather by month in Baxley

July is the warmest month at Baxley 5NNW, GA, averaging 93°F by day and 71°F at night; January is the coldest at 61°F and 37°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to February (a 90% chance or more). From April to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, March still brings one in 80% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 6,293 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 80% of the 127 Georgia stations. 41% of them (2,570) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 992.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Baxley 5NNW, GA
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan613799%13106
Feb644096%9121
Mar704580%3266
Apr79529%<1466
May86610%0725
Jun91680%0886
Jul93710%0992
Aug92710%0976
Sep88660%0808
Oct79555%0533
Nov714575%4256
Dec644093%9157

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Baxley 5NNW, GA (213 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Surrency, GA, 10 miles southeast of Baxley, has a last frost 2 days later (March 17), a first frost 2 days earlier (November 16), a season 5 days shorter.

Frost dates for 31555 (Odum) →

When it snows in Baxley, Georgia

Measurable snow is rare here: only 1 of 26 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Alma Bacon Co Airport, GA, 18.5 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 31513

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Baxley, Georgia
WhenWhat to do
January 4 – January 18Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 18 – February 1Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 15 – March 1Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 15 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 26Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 4Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 18 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 31513 is 5 miles from Baxley 5NNW, GA, which stands at 213 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 31513 in zone 9a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Georgia →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 9a places in Georgia