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USDA Hardiness Zone 9a

Frost Dates for 39426 — Carriere, Mississippi

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Picayune, MS (64 ft), 8 miles south.

Updated

In Carriere, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 9 in half of years and has passed by March 31 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 18, as early as November 3 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 255 days (NOAA, Picayune, MS).

Last spring frost
March 9

50% probability

First fall frost
November 18

50% probability

Growing season
255 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9a

20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
0%

0 of 18 observed

Snow per year
0"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Carriere

Half of springs at Picayune, MS see their last 32°F night by March 9; only one in ten is past it by February 17, and one in ten still has one after March 31. Planting tender crops after March 19 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 25 20%, and after March 31 10%. The 22 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 85% of the 96 Mississippi stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 18 in half of years, as early as November 3 one year in ten, and holds off past December 11 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 15 days later, around December 3; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 16, 15 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 255 days in a typical year, longer than at 82% of the 96 Mississippi stations; it reaches 287 days one year in ten and falls short of 226 one year in ten. On average 31 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 17 days longer, to about March 26, and return around November 7. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 90% of winters and 16°F in 25%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 3Mar 10Mar 16Mar 21Mar 26Mar 30Apr 3Apr 7Apr 16
32°FFeb 17Feb 24Feb 28Mar 4Mar 9Mar 13Mar 19Mar 25Mar 31
28°FJan 27Feb 4Feb 12Feb 18Feb 24Feb 28Mar 4Mar 9Mar 16
24°F90% of yrsDec 31Jan 13Jan 21Jan 30Feb 3Feb 9Feb 17Feb 26Mar 4
20°F60% of yrsDec 26Jan 3Jan 10Jan 16Jan 22Jan 29Feb 2Feb 10Feb 24
16°F25% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 24Oct 29Nov 1Nov 5Nov 7Nov 11Nov 15Nov 19Nov 27
32°FNov 3Nov 7Nov 11Nov 15Nov 18Nov 23Nov 29Dec 3Dec 11
28°FNov 11Nov 17Nov 24Nov 30Dec 3Dec 7Dec 15Dec 28Jan 7
24°F90% of yrsNov 26Dec 2Dec 8Dec 17Dec 26Jan 1Jan 6Jan 14Jan 29
20°F60% of yrsDec 9Dec 19Dec 28Jan 1Jan 5Jan 12Jan 19Jan 26Feb 6
16°F25% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Picayune, MS, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 39426 →Compare Carriere with another place →

Weather by month in Carriere

July is the warmest month at Picayune, MS, averaging 92°F by day and 71°F at night; January is the coldest at 62°F and 38°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to February (a 90% chance or more). From April to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, March still brings one in 65% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 6,325 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 81% of the 96 Mississippi stations. 41% of them (2,616) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 961. Precipitation totals 66.8 inches a year, most in June (6.6") and least in November (4.3"); May to September bring 44% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Picayune, MS
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan62386.496%10119
Feb66414.991%6146
Mar72475.265%2311
Apr78535.98%<1474
May85615.00%0708
Jun89686.60%0858
Jul92716.50%0961
Aug91716.40%0961
Sep88664.90%0808
Oct81555.06%<1556
Nov71454.371%3258
Dec65405.790%10165

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Picayune, MS (64 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Bogalusa, LA, 15 miles northwest of Carriere, has a last frost 7 days earlier (March 2), a first frost 5 days later (November 23), a season 10 days longer.

Frost dates for 70438 (Franklinton) →

When it snows in Carriere, Mississippi

Measurable snow is rare here: only 0 of 18 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Picayune, MS, 7.8 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 39426

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Carriere, Mississippi
WhenWhat to do
December 29 – January 12Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 12 – January 26Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 9 – February 23Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 9 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 26Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 4Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 18 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 39426 is 8 miles from Picayune, MS, which stands at 64 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station; its figures are presented in full for 39466 (Picayune). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 39426 in zone 9a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Mississippi →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 9a places in Mississippi