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USDA Hardiness Zone 5b

Frost Dates for 48763 — Tawas City, Michigan

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from E Tawas, MI (586 ft), 4 miles northeast.

Updated

In Tawas City, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 8 in half of years and has passed by May 26 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 5, as early as September 23 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 148 days (NOAA, E Tawas, MI).

Last spring frost
May 8

50% probability

First fall frost
October 5

50% probability

Growing season
148 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5b

-15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) coldest night

First snow
November 23

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 7

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

29 of 29 observed

Snow per year
49.2"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Tawas City

Half of springs at E Tawas, MI see their last 32°F night by May 8; only one in ten is past it by April 26, and one in ten still has one after May 26. Planting tender crops after May 16 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 19 20%, and after May 26 10%. The 18 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 81% of the 172 Michigan stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 5 in half of years, as early as September 23 one year in ten, and holds off past October 17 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 12 days later, around October 17; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 13, 13 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 148 days in a typical year, shorter than at 66% of the 172 Michigan stations; it reaches 169 days one year in ten and falls short of 129 one year in ten. On average 157 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 15 days longer, to about May 23, and return around September 26. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 26 and March 29.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 6May 12May 17May 19May 23May 26May 30Jun 1Jun 6
32°FApr 26Apr 30May 2May 5May 8May 12May 16May 19May 26
28°FApr 13Apr 18Apr 22Apr 25Apr 28Apr 30May 3May 8May 13
24°FApr 3Apr 6Apr 10Apr 13Apr 16Apr 18Apr 21Apr 24Apr 29
20°FMar 22Mar 30Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 8Apr 11Apr 15Apr 19
16°FMar 13Mar 18Mar 22Mar 26Mar 29Mar 31Apr 2Apr 5Apr 10
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 13Sep 18Sep 21Sep 24Sep 26Sep 29Oct 1Oct 3Oct 7
32°FSep 23Sep 28Oct 1Oct 3Oct 5Oct 7Oct 10Oct 13Oct 17
28°FOct 2Oct 7Oct 11Oct 14Oct 17Oct 20Oct 24Oct 28Nov 1
24°FOct 15Oct 22Oct 26Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 10Nov 15
20°FOct 31Nov 4Nov 7Nov 11Nov 14Nov 17Nov 20Nov 24Nov 30
16°FNov 10Nov 15Nov 19Nov 23Nov 26Nov 29Dec 2Dec 5Dec 12

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at E Tawas, MI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 48763 →Compare Tawas City with another place →

Weather by month in Tawas City

July is the warmest month at E Tawas, MI, averaging 80°F by day and 58°F at night; January is the coldest at 30°F and 13°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 75% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,192 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 65% of the 172 Michigan stations. 29% of them (641) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 594. Precipitation totals 32.3 inches a year, most in April (3.4") and least in February (1.8"); May to September bring 48% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at E Tawas, MI
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan30132.1100%300
Feb32131.8100%270
Mar41211.9100%274
Apr52323.4100%1527
May65443.275%2182
Jun75533.34%0429
Jul80583.10%0594
Aug79573.00%0550
Sep72492.929%1321
Oct59383.098%881
Nov46292.5100%196
Dec35212.1100%280

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at E Tawas, MI (586 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Hale 5SSW #2, MI, 14 miles west of Tawas City and 230 feet higher, has a last frost 15 days later (May 23), a first frost 9 days earlier (September 26), a season 21 days shorter.

Frost dates for 48756 (Prescott) →

When it snows in Tawas City, Michigan

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Tawas City usually arrives around November 23, and the last of the season around April 7. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at E Tawas, MI, 3.6 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 31 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 48763

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Tawas City, Michigan
WhenWhat to do
February 27 – March 13Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 13 – March 27Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 10 – April 24Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 8 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 13Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 21Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 5 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 48763 is 4 miles from E Tawas, MI, which stands at 586 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 48750 (Oscoda). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 48763 in zone 5b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Michigan →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 5b places in Michigan