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USDA Hardiness Zone 5b

Frost Dates for 49663 — Manton, Michigan

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Fife Lake 2WNW, MI (1,052 ft), 11 miles north.

Updated

In Manton, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 24 in half of years and has passed by June 6 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 1, as early as September 18 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 130 days (NOAA, Fife Lake 2WNW, MI).

Last spring frost
May 24

50% probability

First fall frost
October 1

50% probability

Growing season
130 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5b

-15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) coldest night

First snow
November 1

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 17

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

30 of 30 observed

Snow per year
74"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Manton

Half of springs at Fife Lake 2WNW, MI see their last 32°F night by May 24; only one in ten is past it by May 7, and one in ten still has one after June 6. Planting tender crops after May 30 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after June 2 20%, and after June 6 10%. The 13 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 95% of the 172 Michigan stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 1 in half of years, as early as September 18 one year in ten, and holds off past October 15 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around October 14; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 25, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 130 days in a typical year, shorter than at 85% of the 172 Michigan stations; it reaches 151 days one year in ten and falls short of 109 one year in ten. On average 184 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about June 4, and return around September 20. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 22 and April 5.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 22May 27May 31Jun 2Jun 4Jun 7Jun 11Jun 17Jun 26
32°FMay 7May 14May 18May 22May 24May 27May 30Jun 2Jun 6
28°FApr 25Apr 30May 2May 5May 9May 13May 17May 21May 25
24°FApr 15Apr 19Apr 23Apr 26Apr 29May 1May 4May 8May 15
20°FApr 3Apr 7Apr 10Apr 14Apr 16Apr 18Apr 22Apr 26Apr 30
16°FMar 23Mar 29Apr 1Apr 3Apr 5Apr 8Apr 10Apr 14Apr 18
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 2Sep 9Sep 14Sep 17Sep 20Sep 22Sep 25Sep 28Oct 2
32°FSep 18Sep 23Sep 26Sep 29Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7Oct 10Oct 15
28°FSep 29Oct 3Oct 6Oct 10Oct 14Oct 17Oct 20Oct 25Oct 31
24°FOct 13Oct 19Oct 23Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 12
20°FOct 29Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 20Nov 27
16°FNov 7Nov 11Nov 16Nov 19Nov 22Nov 26Nov 29Dec 3Dec 9

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Fife Lake 2WNW, MI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 49663 →Compare Manton with another place →

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Lake City Exp Farm, MI, 12 miles southeast of Manton and 178 feet higher, has a last frost 2 days earlier (May 22), a first frost 5 days earlier (September 26), a season 5 days shorter.

Frost dates for 49651 (Lake City) →

When it snows in Manton, Michigan

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Manton usually arrives around November 1, and the last of the season around April 17. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Lake City Exp Farm, MI, 11.8 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 37 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 49663

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Manton, Michigan
WhenWhat to do
March 15 – March 29Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 29 – April 12Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 26 – May 10Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 24 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 9Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 17Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 1 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 49663 is 11 miles from Fife Lake 2WNW, MI, which stands at 1,052 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 49649 (Kingsley). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 49663 in zone 5b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Michigan →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 5b places in Michigan