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USDA Hardiness Zone 5a

Frost Dates for 49738 — Grayling, Michigan

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Grayling, MI (1,137 ft), 4 miles southwest.

Updated

In Grayling, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 23 in half of years and has passed by June 7 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around September 27, as early as September 11 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 124 days (NOAA, Grayling, MI).

Last spring frost
May 23

50% probability

First fall frost
September 27

50% probability

Growing season
124 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5a

-20 to -15°F (-28.9 to -26.1°C) coldest night

First snow
November 4

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 11

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

30 of 30 observed

Snow per year
88.3"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Grayling

Half of springs at Grayling, MI see their last 32°F night by May 23; only one in ten is past it by May 6, and one in ten still has one after June 7. Planting tender crops after May 30 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after June 1 20%, and after June 7 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 55% of the 172 Michigan stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by September 27 in half of years, as early as September 11 one year in ten, and holds off past October 10 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 12 days later, around October 9; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 26, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 124 days in a typical year, shorter than at 93% of the 172 Michigan stations; it reaches 146 days one year in ten and falls short of 104 one year in ten. On average 185 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about June 4, and return around September 14. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 15 and April 6.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 21May 26May 30Jun 2Jun 4Jun 7Jun 11Jun 16Jun 24
32°FMay 6May 13May 17May 21May 23May 26May 30Jun 1Jun 7
28°FApr 25Apr 30May 3May 7May 10May 13May 17May 21May 26
24°FApr 13Apr 18Apr 21Apr 25Apr 28May 1May 5May 9May 16
20°FApr 3Apr 6Apr 10Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 23Apr 27May 3
16°FMar 25Mar 29Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 9Apr 12Apr 16Apr 21
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FAug 28Sep 2Sep 6Sep 10Sep 14Sep 17Sep 20Sep 24Sep 29
32°FSep 11Sep 16Sep 21Sep 24Sep 27Sep 30Oct 2Oct 6Oct 10
28°FSep 25Sep 30Oct 2Oct 5Oct 9Oct 12Oct 16Oct 20Oct 26
24°FOct 6Oct 14Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Oct 27Oct 31Nov 2Nov 6
20°FOct 22Oct 28Nov 1Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 11Nov 15Nov 20
16°FNov 1Nov 5Nov 9Nov 12Nov 15Nov 18Nov 22Nov 25Dec 1

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Grayling, MI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 49738 →Compare Grayling with another place →

Weather by month in Grayling

July is the warmest month at Grayling, MI, averaging 80°F by day and 55°F at night; January is the coldest at 26°F and 10°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to May (a 90% chance or more). From July to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, June still brings one in 22% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,013 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 77% of the 172 Michigan stations. 32% of them (639) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 547. Precipitation totals 33.3 inches a year, most in October (4.0") and least in February (1.4"); May to September bring 49% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Grayling, MI
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan26101.8100%300
Feb2991.4100%270
Mar39161.7100%295
Apr53293.4100%2231
May67413.294%8189
Jun77513.622%<1415
Jul80553.10%0547
Aug79533.31%0494
Sep71453.260%3263
Oct57354.0100%1463
Nov43262.6100%246
Dec32182.0100%290

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Grayling, MI (1,137 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Houghton Lk Roscommon Airport, MI, 23 miles south of Grayling, has a last frost 4 days earlier (May 19), a first frost 4 days earlier (September 23), a season 1 day longer.

Frost dates for 48653 (Roscommon) →

When it snows in Grayling, Michigan

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Grayling usually arrives around November 4, and the last of the season around April 11. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Grayling, MI, 4.2 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 42 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 49738

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Grayling, Michigan
WhenWhat to do
March 14 – March 28Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 28 – April 11Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 25 – May 9Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 23 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 5Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 13Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
September 27 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 49738 is 4 miles from Grayling, MI, which stands at 1,137 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 49738 in zone 5a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -20 to -15°F (-28.9 to -26.1°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Michigan →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 5a places in Michigan