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USDA Hardiness Zone 5a

Frost Dates for 49747 — Hubbard Lake, Michigan

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Alpena Co Regional Airport, MI (684 ft), 17 miles north.

Updated

In Hubbard Lake, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 17 in half of years and has passed by May 31 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 1, as early as September 18 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 136 days (NOAA, Alpena Co Regional Airport, MI).

Last spring frost
May 17

50% probability

First fall frost
October 1

50% probability

Growing season
136 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5a

-20 to -15°F (-28.9 to -26.1°C) coldest night

First snow
November 8

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 15

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

27 of 27 observed

Snow per year
77.6"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Hubbard Lake

Half of springs at Alpena Co Regional Airport, MI see their last 32°F night by May 17; only one in ten is past it by May 1, and one in ten still has one after May 31. Planting tender crops after May 23 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 27 20%, and after May 31 10%. The 14 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 80% of the 172 Michigan stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 1 in half of years, as early as September 18 one year in ten, and holds off past October 16 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 14 days later, around October 15; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 19, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 136 days in a typical year, shorter than at 77% of the 172 Michigan stations; it reaches 157 days one year in ten and falls short of 115 one year in ten. On average 169 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about May 29, and return around September 21. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 22 and April 1.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 15May 20May 23May 27May 29May 31Jun 3Jun 6Jun 12
32°FMay 1May 6May 10May 13May 17May 20May 23May 27May 31
28°FApr 20Apr 24Apr 28Apr 30May 4May 7May 10May 14May 19
24°FApr 8Apr 12Apr 17Apr 20Apr 23Apr 26Apr 29May 2May 7
20°FMar 29Apr 2Apr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 13Apr 17Apr 20Apr 25
16°FMar 18Mar 22Mar 26Mar 29Apr 1Apr 2Apr 5Apr 8Apr 15
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 4Sep 10Sep 14Sep 18Sep 21Sep 23Sep 26Sep 29Oct 3
32°FSep 18Sep 24Sep 27Sep 30Oct 1Oct 4Oct 6Oct 10Oct 16
28°FSep 29Oct 4Oct 7Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 21Oct 25Oct 31
24°FOct 13Oct 18Oct 23Oct 26Oct 30Nov 1Nov 3Nov 7Nov 12
20°FOct 28Nov 1Nov 4Nov 8Nov 11Nov 14Nov 18Nov 22Nov 27
16°FNov 7Nov 11Nov 15Nov 19Nov 22Nov 25Nov 29Dec 2Dec 8

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Alpena Co Regional Airport, MI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 49747 →Compare Hubbard Lake with another place →

Weather by month in Hubbard Lake

July is the warmest month at Alpena Co Regional Airport, MI, averaging 81°F by day and 56°F at night; January is the coldest at 28°F and 12°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to May (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,033 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 76% of the 172 Michigan stations. 29% of them (590) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 564. Precipitation totals 29.6 inches a year, most in July (3.2") and least in February (1.5"); May to September bring 49% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Alpena Co Regional Airport, MI
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan28121.8100%300
Feb30111.5100%270
Mar39191.8100%285
Apr52302.9100%1926
May66412.890%5163
Jun76502.710%<1396
Jul81563.20%0564
Aug79553.10%0516
Sep71472.844%1284
Oct58373.099%1071
Nov45292.1100%218
Dec34201.9100%280

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Alpena Co Regional Airport, MI (684 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Alpena Wwtp, MI, 18 miles northeast of Hubbard Lake, has a last frost 12 days earlier (May 5), a first frost 16 days later (October 17), a season 27 days longer.

Frost dates for 49707 (Alpena) →

When it snows in Hubbard Lake, Michigan

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Hubbard Lake usually arrives around November 8, and the last of the season around April 15. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Alpena Co Regional Airport, MI, 17 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 32 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 49747

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Hubbard Lake, Michigan
WhenWhat to do
March 8 – March 22Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 22 – April 5Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 19 – May 3Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 17 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 9Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 17Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 1 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 49747 is 17 miles from Alpena Co Regional Airport, MI, which stands at 684 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 49747 in zone 5a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -20 to -15°F (-28.9 to -26.1°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Michigan →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 5a places in Michigan