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USDA Hardiness Zone 5a

Frost Dates for 49751 — Johannesburg, Michigan

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Atlanta 5 WNW, MI (1,180 ft), 11 miles northeast.

Updated

In Johannesburg, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 11 in half of years and has passed by May 31 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 6, as early as September 20 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 146 days (NOAA, Atlanta 5 WNW, MI).

Last spring frost
May 11

50% probability

First fall frost
October 6

50% probability

Growing season
146 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5a

-20 to -15°F (-28.9 to -26.1°C) coldest night

First snow
November 1

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 13

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

29 of 29 observed

Snow per year
83.9"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Johannesburg

Half of springs at Atlanta 5 WNW, MI see their last 32°F night by May 11; only one in ten is past it by April 27, and one in ten still has one after May 31. Planting tender crops after May 19 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 24 20%, and after May 31 10%. The 20 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 95% of the 172 Michigan stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 6 in half of years, as early as September 20 one year in ten, and holds off past October 20 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 15 days later, around October 21; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 14, 17 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 146 days in a typical year, shorter than at 71% of the 172 Michigan stations; it reaches 168 days one year in ten and falls short of 122 one year in ten. On average 170 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 17 days longer, to about May 28, and return around September 23. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 26 and March 30.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 11May 17May 21May 25May 28May 31Jun 3Jun 7Jun 15
32°FApr 27May 1May 5May 8May 11May 15May 19May 24May 31
28°FApr 12Apr 17Apr 21Apr 24Apr 27Apr 30May 3May 6May 14
24°FApr 1Apr 5Apr 8Apr 11Apr 14Apr 17Apr 20Apr 25Apr 29
20°FMar 22Mar 27Mar 31Apr 2Apr 5Apr 7Apr 9Apr 14Apr 19
16°FMar 14Mar 19Mar 23Mar 26Mar 30Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 12
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 4Sep 11Sep 16Sep 20Sep 23Sep 26Sep 30Oct 3Oct 8
32°FSep 20Sep 25Sep 30Oct 3Oct 6Oct 9Oct 12Oct 16Oct 20
28°FOct 3Oct 9Oct 14Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Oct 27Oct 31Nov 5
24°FOct 17Oct 25Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 7Nov 9Nov 13Nov 19
20°FNov 2Nov 6Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 19Nov 23Nov 27Dec 4
16°FNov 9Nov 14Nov 19Nov 22Nov 26Nov 29Dec 2Dec 7Dec 14

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Atlanta 5 WNW, MI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 49751 →Compare Johannesburg with another place →

Weather by month in Johannesburg

July is the warmest month at Atlanta 5 WNW, MI, averaging 79°F by day and 57°F at night; January is the coldest at 24°F and 12°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 80% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 1,978 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 80% of the 172 Michigan stations. 30% of them (596) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 552.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Atlanta 5 WNW, MI
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan2412100%310
Feb2612100%270
Mar3820100%286
Apr5132100%1835
May644280%4169
Jun74519%<1387
Jul79570%0552
Aug77550%0484
Sep704833%1287
Oct553798%957
Nov4128100%232
Dec3119100%300

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Atlanta 5 WNW, MI (1,180 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Gaylord Otsego Co Airport, MI, 14 miles west of Johannesburg and 155 feet higher, has a last frost 11 days later (May 22), a first frost 6 days earlier (September 30), a season 16 days shorter.

Frost dates for 49735 (Gaylord) →

When it snows in Johannesburg, Michigan

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Johannesburg usually arrives around November 1, and the last of the season around April 13. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Vanderbilt 11ENE, MI, 14.3 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 28 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 49751

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Johannesburg, Michigan
WhenWhat to do
March 2 – March 16Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 16 – March 30Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 13 – April 27Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 11 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 14Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 22Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 6 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 49751 is 11 miles from Atlanta 5 WNW, MI, which stands at 1,180 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station; its figures are presented in full for 49756 (Lewiston). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 49751 in zone 5a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -20 to -15°F (-28.9 to -26.1°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Michigan →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 5a places in Michigan