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USDA Hardiness Zone 5a

Frost Dates for 49916 — Chassell, Michigan

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Jacobsville, MI (650 ft), 5 miles east.

Updated

In Chassell, the last spring frost (32°F) is around June 1 in half of years and has passed by June 17 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around September 23, as early as September 9 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 115 days (NOAA, Jacobsville, MI).

Last spring frost
June 1

50% probability

First fall frost
September 23

50% probability

Growing season
115 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5a

-20 to -15°F (-28.9 to -26.1°C) coldest night

First snow
October 14

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
May 3

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

30 of 30 observed

Snow per year
207.8"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Chassell

Half of springs at Jacobsville, MI see their last 32°F night by June 1; only one in ten is past it by May 14, and one in ten still has one after June 17. Planting tender crops after June 6 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after June 11 20%, and after June 17 10%. The 16 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 38% of the 172 Michigan stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by September 23 in half of years, as early as September 9 one year in ten, and holds off past October 7 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 14 days later, around October 7; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is June 4, 13 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 115 days in a typical year, shorter than at 96% of the 172 Michigan stations; it reaches 134 days one year in ten and falls short of 94 one year in ten. On average 194 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about June 14, and return around September 11. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 17 and April 8.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 29Jun 3Jun 6Jun 10Jun 14Jun 17Jun 21Jun 27Jul 5
32°FMay 14May 21May 25May 29Jun 1Jun 3Jun 6Jun 11Jun 17
28°FApr 30May 4May 8May 11May 14May 18May 23May 29Jun 4
24°FApr 14Apr 20Apr 24Apr 27Apr 30May 2May 6May 12May 18
20°FApr 4Apr 8Apr 11Apr 14Apr 17Apr 20Apr 23Apr 27May 1
16°FMar 28Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 8Apr 10Apr 13Apr 17Apr 21
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FAug 27Sep 1Sep 4Sep 8Sep 11Sep 14Sep 17Sep 21Sep 26
32°FSep 9Sep 13Sep 18Sep 20Sep 23Sep 27Sep 30Oct 3Oct 7
28°FSep 20Sep 26Sep 30Oct 4Oct 7Oct 10Oct 13Oct 18Oct 23
24°FOct 6Oct 12Oct 17Oct 21Oct 25Oct 28Nov 1Nov 3Nov 8
20°FOct 28Nov 1Nov 2Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 12Nov 16Nov 21
16°FNov 4Nov 8Nov 11Nov 14Nov 17Nov 20Nov 22Nov 26Nov 30

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Jacobsville, MI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 49916 →Compare Chassell with another place →

Weather by month in Chassell

July is the warmest month at Jacobsville, MI, averaging 77°F by day and 51°F at night; January is the coldest at 24°F and 9°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to May (a 90% chance or more). From July to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, June still brings one in 51% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 1,387 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), the fewest of the 172 Michigan stations. 23% of them (322) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 427. Precipitation totals 31.8 inches a year, most in September (3.5") and least in February (1.4"); May to September bring 51% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Jacobsville, MI
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan2492.0100%310
Feb2591.4100%280
Mar34131.5100%293
Apr46272.9100%266
May60363.499%1175
Jun70453.351%1238
Jul77513.21%0427
Aug75502.80%0397
Sep67443.571%2204
Oct53353.0100%1337
Nov40252.4100%242
Dec29162.4100%300

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Jacobsville, MI (650 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Hancock Houghton Co Airport, MI, 11 miles north of Chassell and 413 feet higher, has a last frost 15 days earlier (May 17), a first frost 8 days later (October 1), a season 23 days longer.

Frost dates for 49931 (Houghton) →

When it snows in Chassell, Michigan

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Chassell usually arrives around October 14, and the last of the season around May 3. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Herman, MI, 25.1 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 29 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 49916

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Chassell, Michigan
WhenWhat to do
March 23 – April 6Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
April 6 – April 20Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
May 4 – May 18Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
June 1 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 1Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 9Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
September 23 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 49916 is 5 miles from Jacobsville, MI, which stands at 650 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 49916 in zone 5a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -20 to -15°F (-28.9 to -26.1°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Michigan →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 5a places in Michigan