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USDA Hardiness Zone 5b

Frost Dates for 68002 — Arlington, Nebraska

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Fremont, NE (1,180 ft), 7 miles southwest.

Updated

In Arlington, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 23 in half of years and has passed by May 6 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 15, as early as September 29 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 172 days (NOAA, Fremont, NE).

Last spring frost
April 23

50% probability

First fall frost
October 15

50% probability

Growing season
172 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5b

-15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) coldest night

First snow
November 22

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 22

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

30 of 30 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Arlington

Half of springs at Fremont, NE see their last 32°F night by April 23; only one in ten is past it by April 9, and one in ten still has one after May 6. Planting tender crops after April 29 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 1 20%, and after May 6 10%. The 13 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 29% of the 68 Nebraska stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 15 in half of years, as early as September 29 one year in ten, and holds off past October 27 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around October 24; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 27, 9 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 172 days in a typical year, longer than at 71% of the 68 Nebraska stations; it reaches 191 days one year in ten and falls short of 152 one year in ten. On average 140 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 10 days longer, to about May 3, and return around October 5. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 18 and March 15.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 20Apr 25Apr 28May 1May 3May 5May 7May 10May 16
32°FApr 9Apr 14Apr 18Apr 21Apr 23Apr 26Apr 29May 1May 6
28°FApr 1Apr 4Apr 8Apr 10Apr 13Apr 17Apr 20Apr 22Apr 27
24°FMar 18Mar 24Mar 29Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 9Apr 13Apr 19
20°FMar 7Mar 13Mar 17Mar 21Mar 25Mar 28Mar 31Apr 4Apr 9
16°FFeb 28Mar 5Mar 8Mar 11Mar 15Mar 19Mar 22Mar 27Mar 31
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 22Sep 26Sep 30Oct 2Oct 5Oct 7Oct 11Oct 14Oct 18
32°FSep 29Oct 5Oct 8Oct 12Oct 15Oct 17Oct 20Oct 23Oct 27
28°FOct 10Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 24Oct 27Oct 29Nov 1Nov 5
24°FOct 19Oct 23Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 6Nov 10Nov 16
20°FOct 27Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 15Nov 19Nov 25
16°FNov 1Nov 7Nov 11Nov 15Nov 18Nov 21Nov 25Nov 30Dec 5

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Fremont, NE, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 68002 →Compare Arlington with another place →

Weather by month in Arlington

July is the warmest month at Fremont, NE, averaging 87°F by day and 65°F at night; January is the coldest at 32°F and 13°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 23% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 3,407 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 66% of the 68 Nebraska stations. 35% of them (1,208) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 803. Precipitation totals 30.5 inches a year, most in June (5.0") and least in January (0.8"); May to September bring 64% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Fremont, NE
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan32130.8100%300
Feb37170.9100%263
Mar50271.6100%2134
Apr63383.099%7130
May73504.623%<1378
Jun83615.00%0664
Jul87653.20%0803
Aug85633.70%0728
Sep78533.112%<1471
Oct65402.296%7174
Nov50281.2100%2023
Dec36181.2100%290

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Fremont, NE (1,180 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Valley NWS, NE, 11 miles south of Arlington, has a last frost 8 days earlier (April 15), a first frost 6 days later (October 21), a season 15 days longer.

Frost dates for 68022 (Elkhorn) →

When it snows in Arlington, Nebraska

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Arlington usually arrives around November 22, and the last of the season around March 22. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Fremont, NE, 7.1 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 32 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 68002

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Arlington, Nebraska
WhenWhat to do
February 12 – February 26Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 26 – March 12Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 26 – April 9Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 23 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 23Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 1Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 15 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 68002 is 7 miles from Fremont, NE, which stands at 1,180 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station; its figures are presented in full for 68025 (Fremont). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 68002 in zone 5b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Nebraska →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 5b places in Nebraska