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USDA Hardiness Zone 5b

Frost Dates for 68003 — Ashland, Nebraska

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Ashland #2, NE (1,118 ft), 2 miles south.

Updated

In Ashland, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 23 in half of years and has passed by May 5 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 16, as early as September 29 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 175 days (NOAA, Ashland #2, NE).

Last spring frost
April 23

50% probability

First fall frost
October 16

50% probability

Growing season
175 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5b

-15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) coldest night

First snow
November 25

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 18

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

28 of 28 observed

Snow per year
22.1"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Ashland

Half of springs at Ashland #2, NE see their last 32°F night by April 23; only one in ten is past it by April 8, and one in ten still has one after May 5. Planting tender crops after April 29 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 1 20%, and after May 5 10%. The 12 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 57% of the 68 Nebraska stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 16 in half of years, as early as September 29 one year in ten, and holds off past October 27 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around October 25; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 27, 8 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 175 days in a typical year, longer than at 79% of the 68 Nebraska stations; it reaches 193 days one year in ten and falls short of 155 one year in ten. On average 145 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 8 days longer, to about May 1, and return around October 6. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 19 and March 15.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 18Apr 24Apr 27Apr 30May 1May 4May 7May 11May 16
32°FApr 8Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 23Apr 26Apr 29May 1May 5
28°FMar 31Apr 3Apr 7Apr 10Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 23Apr 27
24°FMar 19Mar 24Mar 28Apr 1Apr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 14Apr 20
20°FMar 8Mar 13Mar 18Mar 22Mar 26Mar 30Apr 2Apr 6Apr 12
16°FFeb 28Mar 5Mar 8Mar 11Mar 15Mar 19Mar 23Mar 28Apr 3
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 22Sep 27Sep 30Oct 3Oct 6Oct 8Oct 11Oct 14Oct 19
32°FSep 29Oct 5Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 21Oct 24Oct 27
28°FOct 11Oct 17Oct 20Oct 23Oct 25Oct 28Oct 31Nov 2Nov 6
24°FOct 21Oct 25Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2Nov 4Nov 7Nov 12Nov 17
20°FOct 27Nov 1Nov 5Nov 7Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 21Nov 28
16°FNov 3Nov 8Nov 12Nov 15Nov 19Nov 23Nov 27Dec 1Dec 6

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Ashland #2, NE, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 68003 →Compare Ashland with another place →

Frost risk through the year in Ashland

Frost curve for Ashland, Nebraska (Ashland #2, NE, NOAA 1991–2020): the chance of another 32°F night falls from 90% on April 8 to 50% on April 23 and 10% on May 5; the chance that the first fall one has come rises from 10% on September 29 to 50% on October 16 and 90% on October 27.

In Ashland, the spring curve drops under 10% on May 5 and the fall curve passes 10% on September 29, 147 days later; that gap is longer than at 76% of the 68 Nebraska stations with frost dates. The spring risk falls from 90% to 10% over 27 days (April 8 to May 5) and the fall risk climbs from 10% to 90% over 28 days (September 29 to October 27): both ends of the season vary about as much. At Gretna 4NE, NE, 12 miles northeast, the same gap runs from May 4 to October 4, 6 days longer.

Chance of a frost after each planting date in Ashland
Planted onAnother 32°F night28°F night
Apr 988%63%
Apr 1670%40%
Apr 2350% date50%20%
Apr 3025%under 10%
May 7under 10%under 10%
May 14under 10%under 10%

Weather by month in Ashland

July is the warmest month at Ashland #2, NE, averaging 87°F by day and 66°F at night; January is the coldest at 33°F and 13°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 23% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 3,470 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 75% of the 68 Nebraska stations. 35% of them (1,213) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 818. Precipitation totals 32.5 inches a year, most in May (5.2") and least in January (0.9"); May to September bring 63% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Ashland #2, NE
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan33130.9100%300
Feb38171.0100%263
Mar51281.7100%2336
Apr63383.299%9130
May73505.223%1374
Jun83624.50%0670
Jul87663.70%0818
Aug85634.00%0747
Sep79533.213%<1482
Oct65412.496%6184
Nov50281.4100%2126
Dec37181.3100%301

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Ashland #2, NE (1,118 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Gretna 4NE, NE, 12 miles northeast of Ashland, has a last frost 2 days earlier (April 21), a first frost 2 days later (October 18), a season 4 days longer.

Frost dates for 68135 (Omaha) →

When it snows in Ashland, Nebraska

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Ashland usually arrives around November 25, and the last of the season around March 18. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Ashland #2, NE, 1.9 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 36 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 68003

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Ashland, Nebraska
WhenWhat to do
February 12 – February 26Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 26 – March 12Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 26 – April 9Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 23 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 24Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 2Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 16 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 68003 is 2 miles from Ashland #2, NE, which stands at 1,118 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 68003 in zone 5b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Nebraska →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 5b places in Nebraska